Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:41

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,163.36
Current Value
$18,045.63
Period P&L
$6,882.28
Max Drawdown
-28.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+11.20%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+3.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$535,788.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,882.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,882.28
Gross Return
+61.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+61.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $11,163.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,004 $11,159.46
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $12.36 1,004 $12,409.44 $12,413.34 +$1,249.98
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $11.98 1,036 $12,411.28
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.22 1,036 $13,690.74 $13,692.80 +$1,279.46
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $12.26 1,117 $13,688.84
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:45am ET $13.51 1,117 $15,085.09 $15,089.05 +$1,396.25
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $12.65 1,192 $15,084.76
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $12.02 1,192 $14,321.88 $14,326.17 $-762.88
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $12.04 1,189 $14,315.56
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:45am ET $13.31 1,189 $15,819.76 $15,830.37 +$1,504.20
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
6 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $13.72 1,153 $15,816.85
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.11 1,153 $17,421.83 $17,435.35 +$1,604.98
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $14.03 1,242 $17,431.47
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 1,242 $16,245.11 $16,248.99 $-1,186.36
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 1,263 $16,243.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $14.22 1,263 $17,959.86 $17,965.41 +$1,716.42
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.27 1,353 $17,961.07
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:10am ET $14.65 1,353 $19,821.45 $19,825.79 +$1,860.38
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $15.11 1,311 $19,815.76
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $14.30 1,311 $18,740.75 $18,750.77 $-1,075.02
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $14.51 1,292 $18,740.46
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $15.96 1,292 $20,620.32 $20,630.63 +$1,879.86
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:15am ET $15.28 1,349 $20,619.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $14.31 1,349 $19,310.93 $19,322.10 $-1,308.53
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $14.12 1,368 $19,316.16
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $13.33 1,368 $18,230.51 $18,236.46 $-1,085.64
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:20am ET $13.86 1,315 $18,227.22
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $13.13 1,315 $17,259.38 $17,268.61 $-967.84
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $12.38 1,395 $17,263.13
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $11.73 1,395 $16,363.35 $16,368.83 $-899.78
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.78 1,280 $16,358.40
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:50am ET $14.09 1,280 $18,035.20 $18,045.63 +$1,676.80
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,045.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,045.63
Total Return: +80.46%
Back to Torque