Compendium › Torque › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Torque's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.14%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,320.74
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,440.00
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 9.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,440.00
Current Value
$10,320.74
Period P&L
$-119.26
Max Drawdown
-4.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+10.01%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
12d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$59,038.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-119.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-119.26
Gross Return
-1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $10,440.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 55 $10,447.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $180.12 55 $9,906.60 $10,036.85 $-540.65
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $184.65 54 $9,971.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $172.80 54 $9,331.20 $9,396.95 $-639.90
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $174.14 53 $9,229.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET $191.57 53 $10,153.21 $10,320.74 +$923.79
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,320.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$320.74
Total Return: +3.21%
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