Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-14.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,236.86
Current Value
$9,170.26
Period P&L
$-3,066.60
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
5 / 13
Best Trade
+10.35%
Worst Trade
-7.01%
Avg Trade Return
-1.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$390,084.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,066.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,066.60
Gross Return
-25.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $12,236.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $15.63 748 $11,691.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $14.84 748 $11,096.58 $11,099.90 $-594.66
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.57 712 $11,085.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $14.75 712 $10,502.00 $10,516.06 $-583.84
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.39 683 $10,511.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $16.97 683 $11,590.51 $11,595.20 +$1,079.14
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $17.55 660 $11,579.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $16.62 660 $10,968.54 $10,984.04 $-611.16
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:20am ET $14.54 755 $10,977.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $13.74 755 $10,377.47 $10,383.81 $-600.23
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:05am ET $13.98 743 $10,383.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:05am ET $15.40 743 $11,445.91 $11,446.30 +$1,062.49
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:35am ET $17.37 658 $11,429.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.48 658 $10,843.84 $10,860.68 $-585.62
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $15.75 689 $10,851.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.90 689 $10,262.66 $10,271.59 $-589.09
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $14.97 686 $10,269.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:25am ET $16.47 686 $11,298.42 $11,300.59 +$1,029.00
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET $17.36 650 $11,287.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $19.15 650 $12,447.50 $12,460.84 +$1,160.25
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $19.10 652 $12,453.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $17.76 652 $11,580.04 $11,587.68 $-873.16
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $17.17 674 $11,572.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:05am ET $16.25 674 $10,952.50 $10,967.60 $-620.08
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $17.17 674 $11,572.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $16.17 674 $10,901.95 $10,296.97 $-670.63
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $15.73 654 $10,290.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $14.91 654 $9,754.41 $9,760.69 $-536.28
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $15.12 645 $9,752.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $16.68 645 $10,761.82 $10,770.11 +$1,009.42
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 643 $10,757.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $15.83 643 $10,178.69 $10,191.41 $-578.70
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $16.03 635 $10,179.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $15.20 635 $9,652.00 $9,664.36 $-527.05
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $15.84 610 $9,659.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET $15.02 610 $9,165.25 $9,170.26 $-494.10
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,170.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-829.74
Total Return: -8.30%
Back to Torque