Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.1/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
10.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 61.3/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 43.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,920
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,888.48
Current Value
$14,295.15
Total P&L
$4,406.67
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+23.14%
Worst Trade
-5.49%
Avg Trade Return
+2.74%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,756.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,406.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,406.67
Gross Return
+44.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $9,888.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:40am ET $423.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 11:35am ET $425.30 0 $0.00 $9,933.88 +$45.40
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:50am ET $439.80 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 1:10pm ET $444.53 0 $0.00 $10,038.14 +$104.26
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $370.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $369.41 0 $0.00 $10,008.04 $-30.10
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $374.33 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $381.55 0 $0.00 $10,195.76 +$187.72
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $377.76 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 11:10am ET $378.75 0 $0.00 $10,221.50 +$25.74
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $435.78 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 11:35am ET $430.76 0 $0.00 $10,105.93 $-115.57
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $544.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:55am ET $535.10 0 $0.00 $9,934.48 $-171.45
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $545.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:55am ET $542.47 0 $0.00 $9,876.05 $-58.43
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $436.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $432.88 0 $0.00 $9,805.21 $-70.84
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $366.37 26 $9,525.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $403.54 26 $10,492.04 $10,771.63 +$966.42
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $425.75 25 $10,643.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $402.38 25 $10,059.50 $10,187.38 $-584.25
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $424.67 23 $9,767.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $403.08 23 $9,270.84 $9,690.81 $-496.57
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $363.39 26 $9,448.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:55am ET $400.42 26 $10,410.79 $10,653.46 +$962.65
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $363.39 26 $9,448.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $447.48 26 $11,634.48 $12,839.80 +$2,186.34
(+23.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
34d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $476.93 26 $12,400.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $497.29 26 $12,929.41 $13,369.03 +$529.23
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $476.93 26 $12,400.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $512.55 26 $13,326.30 $14,295.15 +$926.12
(+7.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,295.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,295.15
Total Return: +42.95%
Back to Torque