Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 9.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,601
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,140.07
Current Value
$10,320.74
Total P&L
$180.67
Max Drawdown
-4.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$101,951.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$180.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$180.67
Gross Return
+1.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $10,140.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $115.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 11:00am ET $115.73 0 $0.00 $10,132.24 $-7.83
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $93.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET $90.24 0 $0.00 $9,740.62 $-391.62
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $95.22 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $94.93 0 $0.00 $9,710.53 $-30.09
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $94.55 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $98.79 0 $0.00 $10,143.52 +$432.99
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $101.69 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 11:00am ET $101.05 0 $0.00 $10,080.16 $-63.36
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $100.19 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 11:10am ET $100.53 0 $0.00 $10,113.66 +$33.50
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $107.30 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 11:45am ET $107.72 0 $0.00 $10,153.37 +$39.71
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $112.83 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 11:05am ET $112.74 0 $0.00 $10,145.36 $-8.01
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $135.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 11:30am ET $135.62 0 $0.00 $10,167.56 +$22.20
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $146.93 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET $146.49 0 $0.00 $10,136.59 $-30.97
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $143.61 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:50am ET $143.13 0 $0.00 $10,103.34 $-33.25
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $139.25 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $140.57 0 $0.00 $10,198.02 +$94.68
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 71 $10,164.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $157.59 71 $11,188.89 $11,222.20 +$1,024.18
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.03 60 $11,101.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $174.29 60 $10,457.10 $10,577.50 $-644.70
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 55 $10,447.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $180.12 55 $9,906.60 $10,036.85 $-540.65
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $184.65 54 $9,971.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $172.80 54 $9,331.20 $9,396.95 $-639.90
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $174.14 53 $9,229.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET $191.57 53 $10,153.21 $10,320.74 +$923.79
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,320.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$320.74
Total Return: +3.21%
Back to Torque