Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:42

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,661
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
146 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,190.05
Current Value
$18,045.63
Period P&L
$7,855.59
Max Drawdown
-28.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
20 / 22
Best Trade
+12.55%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+1.60%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$748,749.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,855.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,855.59
Gross Return
+77.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+77.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 146 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $10,190.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $9.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $9.77 0 $0.00 $10,745.04 +$554.99
(+5.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $10.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET $10.42 0 $0.00 $10,745.04 $0.00
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $10.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $10.35 0 $0.00 $10,797.19 +$52.15
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $10.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET $10.27 0 $0.00 $10,520.71 $-276.48
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $10.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:10am ET $10.25 0 $0.00 $10,334.23 $-186.48
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $10.73 0 $0.00 $10,091.99 $-242.24
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $11.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $11.00 0 $0.00 $9,978.16 $-113.83
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $10.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $10.85 0 $0.00 $10,055.39 +$77.23
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $10.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $10.75 0 $0.00 $10,408.71 +$353.32
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:20am ET $10.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $10.06 0 $0.00 $10,181.01 $-227.70
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $9.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.52 0 $0.00 $9,985.27 $-195.74
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $9.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $9.24 0 $0.00 $9,862.79 $-122.48
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $8.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 0 $0.00 $9,256.40 $-606.39
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $7.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $7.86 0 $0.00 $10,014.30 +$757.90
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $7.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $7.64 0 $0.00 $9,844.54 $-169.76
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $7.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $7.88 0 $0.00 $10,268.02 +$423.48
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:20am ET $8.24 1,245 $10,265.02
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,245 $11,553.60 $11,556.59 +$1,288.57
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $9.77 1,183 $11,552.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $9.24 1,183 $10,936.83 $10,941.43 $-615.16
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $9.29 1,177 $10,935.74
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $8.81 1,177 $10,375.25 $10,380.94 $-560.49
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET $9.15 1,133 $10,372.61
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $8.69 1,133 $9,845.77 $9,854.09 $-526.85
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 1,149 $9,852.67
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,149 $9,192.00 $9,193.42 $-660.67
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $7.92 1,160 $9,186.97
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $8.77 1,160 $10,167.40 $10,173.85 +$980.43
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $8.56 1,188 $10,169.28
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:45am ET $9.50 1,188 $11,286.00 $11,290.57 +$1,116.72
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $9.73 1,160 $11,281.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $9.19 1,160 $10,666.20 $10,675.77 $-614.80
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $10.61 1,006 $10,673.66
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $11.68 1,006 $11,750.08 $11,752.19 +$1,076.42
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $11.69 1,005 $11,743.43
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.10 1,005 $11,154.60 $11,163.36 $-588.83
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,004 $11,159.46
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $12.36 1,004 $12,409.44 $12,413.34 +$1,249.98
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
28 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $11.98 1,036 $12,411.28
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.22 1,036 $13,690.74 $13,692.80 +$1,279.46
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
29 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $12.26 1,117 $13,688.84
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:45am ET $13.51 1,117 $15,085.09 $15,089.05 +$1,396.25
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
30 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $12.65 1,192 $15,084.76
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $12.02 1,192 $14,321.88 $14,326.17 $-762.88
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
31 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $12.04 1,189 $14,315.56
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:45am ET $13.31 1,189 $15,819.76 $15,830.37 +$1,504.20
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
32 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $13.72 1,153 $15,816.85
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.11 1,153 $17,421.83 $17,435.35 +$1,604.98
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $14.03 1,242 $17,431.47
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 1,242 $16,245.11 $16,248.99 $-1,186.36
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 1,263 $16,243.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $14.22 1,263 $17,959.86 $17,965.41 +$1,716.42
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.27 1,353 $17,961.07
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:10am ET $14.65 1,353 $19,821.45 $19,825.79 +$1,860.38
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $15.11 1,311 $19,815.76
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $14.30 1,311 $18,740.75 $18,750.77 $-1,075.02
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $14.51 1,292 $18,740.46
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $15.96 1,292 $20,620.32 $20,630.63 +$1,879.86
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:15am ET $15.28 1,349 $20,619.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $14.31 1,349 $19,310.93 $19,322.10 $-1,308.53
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $14.12 1,368 $19,316.16
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $13.33 1,368 $18,230.51 $18,236.46 $-1,085.64
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:20am ET $13.86 1,315 $18,227.22
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $13.13 1,315 $17,259.38 $17,268.61 $-967.84
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $12.38 1,395 $17,263.13
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $11.73 1,395 $16,363.35 $16,368.83 $-899.78
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.78 1,280 $16,358.40
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:50am ET $14.09 1,280 $18,035.20 $18,045.63 +$1,676.80
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,045.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,045.63
Total Return: +80.46%
Back to Torque