SMCI Torque's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+34.14%
Year to Date Return
$17,975.99
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$13,401.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.5/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
31.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 30.8
30-Day Momentum
40
+16.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.8
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,004
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,401.11
Current Value
$17,975.99
Period P&L
$4,574.88
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+18.44%
Worst Trade
-6.39%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$905,602.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,574.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,574.88
Gross Return
+34.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $13,401.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $30.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,518.24 |
+$117.13 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $31.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,213.00 |
$-305.24 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $29.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,447.33 |
+$234.33 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $31.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,902.00 |
+$454.67 (+3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $31.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $31.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,772.20 |
$-129.80 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $31.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $31.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,709.71 |
$-62.49 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $33.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,723.99 |
+$14.28 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $31.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $30.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,585.43 |
$-138.56 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $34.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,714.97 |
+$1,129.54 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $31.85 | 462 | $14,714.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.00 | 462 | $13,860.00 | $13,860.27 |
$-854.70 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $21.08 | 657 | $13,846.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.64 | 657 | $15,528.20 | $15,542.19 |
+$1,681.92 (+12.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.18 | 700 | $15,526.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $21.05 | 700 | $14,735.00 | $14,751.19 |
$-791.00 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.11 | 638 | $14,746.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $21.95 | 638 | $14,004.10 | $14,008.37 |
$-742.82 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.03 | 582 | $13,985.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.00 | 582 | $15,714.00 | $15,736.91 |
+$1,728.54 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $27.91 | 563 | $15,713.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 563 | $14,925.13 | $14,948.71 |
$-788.20 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.50 | 543 | $14,932.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.88 | 543 | $14,052.84 | $14,069.05 |
$-879.66 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $27.30 | 515 | $14,056.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.36 | 515 | $16,150.40 | $16,162.53 |
+$2,093.48 (+14.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $35.12 | 460 | $16,155.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $33.16 | 460 | $15,253.60 | $15,260.93 |
$-901.60 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.16 | 422 | $15,260.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $34.25 | 422 | $14,453.50 | $14,454.07 |
$-806.86 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $32.91 | 439 | $14,447.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $31.25 | 439 | $13,718.75 | $13,725.33 |
$-728.74 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:45pm ET | $31.01 | 442 | $13,708.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.26 | 442 | $15,142.92 | $15,159.62 |
+$1,434.29 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $37.65 | 402 | $15,135.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $41.63 | 402 | $16,737.27 | $16,761.59 |
+$1,601.97 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.44 | 353 | $16,746.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.41 | 353 | $15,676.73 | $15,692.00 |
$-1,069.59 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.83 | 358 | $15,691.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $41.55 | 358 | $14,874.90 | $14,875.76 |
$-816.24 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $30.23 | 492 | $14,873.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $28.57 | 492 | $14,056.44 | $14,059.04 |
$-816.72 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.43 | 433 | $14,042.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $35.69 | 433 | $15,453.77 | $15,470.62 |
+$1,411.58 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.52 | 461 | $15,452.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $31.63 | 461 | $14,583.55 | $14,601.45 |
$-869.17 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $29.28 | 498 | $14,581.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.64 | 498 | $13,764.72 | $13,784.73 |
$-816.72 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.86 | 513 | $13,779.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.34 | 513 | $12,999.42 | $13,004.97 |
$-779.76 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $25.06 | 519 | $13,003.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.67 | 519 | $15,401.32 | $15,402.75 |
+$2,397.78 (+18.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $31.69 | 486 | $15,400.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $29.94 | 486 | $14,551.33 | $14,553.56 |
$-849.19 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.40 | 512 | $14,540.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.95 | 512 | $13,800.96 | $13,813.67 |
$-739.89 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.92 | 494 | $13,792.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $30.72 | 494 | $15,175.68 | $15,196.87 |
+$1,383.20 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.95 | 475 | $15,176.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.15 | 475 | $17,172.29 | $17,192.91 |
+$1,996.04 (+13.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $39.44 | 435 | $17,156.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.27 | 435 | $16,212.45 | $16,248.96 |
$-943.95 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.11 | 426 | $16,234.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $36.19 | 426 | $15,416.94 | $15,431.04 |
$-817.92 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.90 | 418 | $15,424.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $40.61 | 418 | $16,974.98 | $16,981.82 |
+$1,550.78 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $38.79 | 437 | $16,951.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $36.83 | 437 | $16,096.89 | $16,127.48 |
$-854.34 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.05 | 423 | $16,095.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.42 | 423 | $17,943.66 | $17,975.99 |
+$1,848.51 (+11.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,975.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,975.99
Total Return:
+79.76%