Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:27:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
3.1/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 9.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
531 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,803.40
Current Value
$10,138.07
Total P&L
$334.67
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
17 / 20
Best Trade
+10.68%
Worst Trade
-8.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,352.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$334.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$334.67
Gross Return
+3.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 531 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $9,803.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 9:40am ET $508.56 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 10:45am ET $507.42 0 $0.00 $9,781.65 $-21.75
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $501.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 12:00pm ET $503.10 0 $0.00 $9,821.55 +$39.90
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 10:00am ET $515.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 12:45pm ET $524.96 0 $0.00 $9,993.79 +$172.24
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $529.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 11:25am ET $537.16 0 $0.00 $10,125.91 +$132.12
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 9:50am ET $550.12 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 11:45am ET $552.65 0 $0.00 $10,171.45 +$45.54
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $421.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 10:55am ET $419.83 0 $0.00 $10,123.81 $-47.64
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $447.48 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 11:10am ET $450.69 0 $0.00 $10,194.43 +$70.62
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $445.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $445.49 0 $0.00 $10,205.21 +$10.78
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:40am ET $387.75 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 2:25pm ET $394.35 0 $0.00 $10,376.81 +$171.60
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $348.14 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $346.72 0 $0.00 $10,335.48 $-41.33
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $350.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $355.83 0 $0.00 $10,478.74 +$143.26
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $360.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 11:00am ET $356.81 0 $0.00 $10,386.23 $-92.51
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $361.52 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 10:50am ET $357.46 0 $0.00 $10,272.69 $-113.54
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $397.16 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:55am ET $393.70 0 $0.00 $10,186.19 $-86.50
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 9:30am ET $414.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:05am ET $416.73 0 $0.00 $10,245.11 +$58.92
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:00am ET $404.77 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 10:35am ET $397.22 0 $0.00 $10,056.49 $-188.62
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $352.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:35am ET $348.13 0 $0.00 $9,925.17 $-131.32
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET $355.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 10:15am ET $349.81 0 $0.00 $9,773.56 $-151.61
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $356.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $354.90 0 $0.00 $9,733.33 $-40.23
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $336.14 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $345.10 0 $0.00 $9,984.35 +$251.02
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $355.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $354.12 0 $0.00 $9,942.35 $-42.00
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $299.30 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:35am ET $299.63 0 $0.00 $9,953.24 +$10.89
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $276.64 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $279.00 0 $0.00 $10,035.84 +$82.60
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $262.05 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $259.08 0 $0.00 $9,922.98 $-112.86
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:30am ET $254.26 39 $9,916.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $238.88 39 $9,316.32 $9,323.16 $-599.82
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $241.04 38 $9,159.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $228.91 38 $8,698.58 $8,862.31 $-460.85
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $231.13 38 $8,783.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:35am ET $254.39 38 $9,666.82 $9,746.00 +$883.69
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
28 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $257.04 37 $9,510.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $243.71 37 $9,017.45 $9,252.97 $-493.03
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
29 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.65 38 $9,220.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $267.30 38 $10,157.40 $10,189.67 +$936.70
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $262.94 38 $9,991.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:55am ET $249.68 38 $9,487.84 $9,685.77 $-503.90
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $210.44 46 $9,680.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $199.49 46 $9,176.54 $9,182.07 $-503.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $198.28 46 $9,120.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $218.39 46 $10,045.89 $10,107.08 +$925.01
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $226.50 44 $9,966.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET $215.15 44 $9,466.60 $9,607.68 $-499.40
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 41 $9,463.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $255.47 41 $10,474.27 $10,618.33 +$1,010.65
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 40 $10,392.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $287.13 40 $11,485.00 $11,710.53 +$1,092.20
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $291.19 40 $11,647.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 40 $10,668.00 $10,730.93 $-979.60
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 41 $10,715.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $246.90 41 $10,122.90 $10,138.07 $-592.86
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,138.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$138.07
Total Return: +1.38%
Back to Torque