Compendium › Torque › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Torque's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 21 trades executed

+12.00%
2 Years Return
$11,658.91
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,409.35
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:21:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.6/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 42.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 31.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,409.35
Current Value
$11,658.91
Total P&L
$1,249.56
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,044.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,249.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,249.56
Gross Return
+12.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $10,409.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $248.92 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 10:35am ET $245.74 0 $0.00 $10,278.97 $-130.38
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $290.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:20pm ET $294.93 0 $0.00 $10,426.46 +$147.49
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $305.99 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 11:40am ET $310.53 0 $0.00 $10,580.82 +$154.36
(+1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:45am ET $262.67 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $263.82 0 $0.00 $10,626.82 +$46.00
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 9:45am ET $276.49 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 11:40am ET $276.63 0 $0.00 $10,632.03 +$5.21
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $237.41 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $230.32 0 $0.00 $10,319.96 $-312.07
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $244.86 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET $242.00 0 $0.00 $10,200.05 $-119.91
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $239.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:15pm ET $258.75 0 $0.00 $11,007.08 +$807.03
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET $247.11 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 11:40am ET $249.64 0 $0.00 $11,118.28 +$111.20
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $264.63 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 11:00am ET $266.22 0 $0.00 $11,185.06 +$66.78
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $295.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 11:05am ET $296.37 0 $0.00 $11,204.67 +$19.61
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $316.02 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 12:20pm ET $319.88 0 $0.00 $11,339.77 +$135.10
(+1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $336.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 11:10am ET $335.29 0 $0.00 $11,302.00 $-37.77
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $339.16 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $342.10 0 $0.00 $11,399.02 +$97.02
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $351.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:55am ET $350.35 0 $0.00 $11,355.02 $-44.00
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $305.61 37 $11,307.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $330.32 37 $12,221.84 $12,269.29 +$914.27
(+8.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $335.07 36 $12,062.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $318.11 36 $11,452.14 $11,658.91 $-610.38
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,658.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,658.91
Total Return: +16.59%
Back to Torque