Compendium › Lucky Strike › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 26 trades in period

+2.43%
Last Year Return
$11,554.36
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,280.40
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:32:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 26.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 19.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,579
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,280.40
Current Value
$11,554.36
Period P&L
$273.96
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+12.92%
Worst Trade
-6.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$571,690.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.96
Gross Return
+2.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $11,280.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $156.77 70 $10,973.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $156.87 70 $10,980.98 $11,046.68 +$7.07
(+0.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $158.97 69 $10,968.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $165.00 69 $11,385.00 $11,462.93 +$416.25
(+3.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:50pm ET $207.94 55 $11,436.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 1:55pm ET $210.02 55 $11,551.10 $11,577.33 +$114.40
(+1.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 1:10pm ET $231.44 50 $11,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $216.91 50 $10,845.51 $10,850.83 $-726.50
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $218.12 49 $10,687.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $231.49 49 $11,343.01 $11,505.96 +$655.13
(+6.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:40am ET $239.57 48 $11,499.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:30am ET $232.22 48 $11,146.32 $11,152.82 $-353.14
(-3.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $257.97 43 $11,092.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:50am ET $254.91 43 $10,961.13 $11,021.24 $-131.58
(-1.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET $258.20 42 $10,844.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $248.45 42 $10,434.69 $10,611.74 $-409.50
(-3.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $246.46 43 $10,597.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $249.21 43 $10,715.82 $10,729.78 +$118.04
(+1.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET $229.67 46 $10,564.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET $239.02 46 $10,994.96 $11,159.92 +$430.14
(+4.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:45pm ET $255.61 43 $10,991.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $248.08 43 $10,667.44 $10,836.13 $-323.79
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:35pm ET $248.78 43 $10,697.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $240.50 43 $10,341.50 $10,480.09 $-356.04
(-3.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $231.54 45 $10,419.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $221.33 45 $9,959.85 $10,020.75 $-459.34
(-4.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:30pm ET $209.93 47 $9,866.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $195.98 47 $9,211.06 $9,365.10 $-655.65
(-6.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $198.07 47 $9,309.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $216.37 47 $10,169.16 $10,224.97 +$859.87
(+9.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $215.87 47 $10,145.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $213.42 47 $10,030.71 $10,109.79 $-115.18
(-1.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $219.03 46 $10,075.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:05am ET $211.66 46 $9,736.36 $9,770.77 $-339.02
(-3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:40am ET $207.21 47 $9,738.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $222.44 47 $10,454.68 $10,486.58 +$715.81
(+7.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
19.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $207.93 50 $10,396.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $203.59 50 $10,179.50 $10,269.58 $-217.00
(-2.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $203.32 50 $10,166.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $229.58 50 $11,479.00 $11,582.58 +$1,313.00
(+12.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $229.49 50 $11,474.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $254.31 50 $12,715.51 $12,823.59 +$1,241.01
(+10.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $249.94 51 $12,746.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $248.14 51 $12,655.14 $12,731.79 $-91.80
(-0.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET $242.60 52 $12,615.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $240.43 52 $12,502.62 $12,619.21 $-112.58
(-0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $200.05 63 $12,603.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $194.62 63 $12,261.06 $12,276.98 $-342.23
(-2.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $215.18 57 $12,265.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $209.63 57 $11,948.91 $11,960.63 $-316.35
(-2.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $211.39 56 $11,837.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET $204.13 56 $11,431.56 $11,554.36 $-406.27
(-3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,554.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,554.36
Total Return: +15.54%
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