Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:54:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 14.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,278.77
Current Value
$11,033.02
Period P&L
$-1,245.76
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+11.14%
Worst Trade
-5.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$423,995.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,245.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,245.76
Gross Return
-10.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $12,278.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:40am ET $240.00 49 $11,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET $242.13 49 $11,864.37 $12,091.09 +$104.37
(+0.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $243.48 49 $11,930.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:55am ET $234.85 49 $11,507.65 $11,668.22 $-422.87
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $239.01 48 $11,472.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:15am ET $240.70 48 $11,553.62 $11,749.36 +$81.14
(+0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $239.20 49 $11,720.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $240.45 49 $11,782.05 $11,810.61 +$61.25
(+0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET $248.50 47 $11,679.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $256.71 47 $12,065.37 $12,196.55 +$385.94
(+3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $250.12 48 $12,005.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 2:25pm ET $252.16 48 $12,103.68 $12,294.47 +$97.92
(+0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $237.74 51 $12,124.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $238.14 51 $12,144.89 $12,314.62 +$20.14
(+0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.53 50 $12,126.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $232.44 50 $11,622.00 $11,810.12 $-504.50
(-4.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $229.77 51 $11,718.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:15am ET $222.16 51 $11,330.16 $11,422.26 $-387.85
(-3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $231.27 49 $11,332.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:40am ET $257.03 49 $12,594.47 $12,684.50 +$1,262.24
(+11.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
19d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:50am ET $256.83 49 $12,584.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $258.95 49 $12,688.31 $12,788.38 +$103.88
(+0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $262.69 48 $12,609.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $253.94 48 $12,189.00 $12,368.21 $-420.17
(-3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $237.04 52 $12,326.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $228.25 52 $11,868.74 $11,910.87 $-457.34
(-3.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $226.87 52 $11,797.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $226.43 52 $11,774.36 $11,887.99 $-22.88
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $215.08 55 $11,829.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $203.56 55 $11,195.80 $11,254.67 $-633.33
(-5.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 58 $11,099.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $192.69 58 $11,176.02 $11,331.23 +$76.56
(+0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $192.84 58 $11,184.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $190.98 58 $11,076.84 $11,223.64 $-107.59
(-1.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $183.18 61 $11,173.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $180.05 61 $10,983.35 $11,033.02 $-190.63
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,033.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,033.02
Total Return: +10.33%
Back to Lucky Strike