Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:08:10

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.4/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 48.3/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,232
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,960.28
Current Value
$13,627.00
Period P&L
$3,666.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+11.37%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$470,616.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,666.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,666.72
Gross Return
+36.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $9,960.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $174.05 57 $9,920.85
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 3:00pm ET $168.05 57 $9,578.57 $9,646.49 $-342.29
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $176.29 54 $9,519.66
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 11:20am ET $173.13 54 $9,348.75 $9,475.58 $-170.91
(-1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $173.92 54 $9,391.68
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $189.58 54 $10,237.32 $10,321.22 +$845.64
(+9.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
22.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $200.03 51 $10,201.53
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:35am ET $199.13 51 $10,155.63 $10,275.32 $-45.90
(-0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET $207.17 49 $10,151.33
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 11:15am ET $206.87 49 $10,136.63 $10,260.62 $-14.70
(-0.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:40am ET $227.88 45 $10,254.51
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 3:40pm ET $246.82 45 $11,106.90 $11,113.01 +$852.39
(+8.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
20.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $246.07 45 $11,073.15
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:05am ET $242.11 45 $10,895.09 $10,934.96 $-178.06
(-1.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
9.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $240.83 45 $10,837.35
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $247.76 45 $11,149.20 $11,246.81 +$311.85
(+2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $250.88 44 $11,038.50
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:50am ET $279.40 44 $12,293.60 $12,501.91 +$1,255.10
(+11.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
8.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $278.68 44 $12,261.92
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:05am ET $277.06 44 $12,190.77 $12,430.76 $-71.15
(-0.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $289.07 43 $12,430.01
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $280.67 43 $12,068.83 $12,069.57 $-361.19
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $273.00 44 $12,012.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $282.06 44 $12,410.64 $12,468.21 +$398.64
(+3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $294.05 42 $12,349.96
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $295.61 42 $12,415.62 $12,533.87 +$65.66
(+0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $296.11 42 $12,436.70
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $315.02 42 $13,230.84 $13,328.01 +$794.14
(+6.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
9.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $317.03 42 $13,315.05
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $310.63 42 $13,046.46 $13,059.42 $-268.59
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $305.14 42 $12,815.88
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $298.87 42 $12,552.54 $12,796.08 $-263.34
(-2.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $312.18 40 $12,487.20
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $327.94 40 $13,117.60 $13,426.48 +$630.40
(+5.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
23.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $320.51 41 $13,140.91
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $333.61 41 $13,677.81 $13,963.38 +$536.90
(+4.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
14d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $316.99 44 $13,947.78
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $319.67 44 $14,065.48 $14,081.08 +$117.70
(+0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $315.98 44 $13,903.12
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $305.66 44 $13,449.04 $13,627.00 $-454.08
(-3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,627.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,627.00
Total Return: +36.27%
Back to Lucky Strike