LCID Lucky Strike's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 34 trades in period
+18.67%
Last Year Return
$5,606.21
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$4,724.27
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality
2.7/100
× Confidence 0.72
= 1.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$4,724.27
Current Value
$5,606.21
Period P&L
$881.89
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
15 /
19
Best Trade
+20.09%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,264.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$881.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$881.89
Gross Return
+18.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $4,724.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 2:10pm ET | $23.00 | 207 | $4,761.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 12:20pm ET | $23.52 | 207 | $4,868.64 | $4,869.17 |
+$107.64 (+2.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:15pm ET | $23.90 | 203 | $4,851.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 1:15pm ET | $23.62 | 203 | $4,793.85 | $4,811.32 |
$-57.86 (-1.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $23.89 | 201 | $4,800.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 2:40pm ET | $24.22 | 201 | $4,867.22 | $4,877.65 |
+$66.33 (+1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $21.60 | 225 | $4,858.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $21.22 | 225 | $4,774.50 | $4,793.27 |
$-84.38 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.70 | 231 | $4,781.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:05pm ET | $21.43 | 231 | $4,950.33 | $4,962.04 |
+$168.77 (+3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 1:50pm ET | $21.15 | 234 | $4,949.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:50pm ET | $19.83 | 234 | $4,639.94 | $4,652.88 |
$-309.16 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $19.66 | 236 | $4,639.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $19.51 | 236 | $4,603.20 | $4,616.32 |
$-36.56 (-0.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:05pm ET | $18.54 | 248 | $4,598.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $18.41 | 248 | $4,564.44 | $4,582.59 |
$-33.73 (-0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $17.97 | 255 | $4,582.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $18.62 | 255 | $4,748.10 | $4,748.34 |
+$165.75 (+3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $17.47 | 271 | $4,734.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.28 | 271 | $4,682.88 | $4,696.85 |
$-51.49 (-1.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.27 | 288 | $4,685.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET | $17.32 | 288 | $4,988.16 | $4,999.25 |
+$302.40 (+6.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $17.62 | 283 | $4,986.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $17.12 | 283 | $4,844.96 | $4,857.75 |
$-141.50 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $15.52 | 312 | $4,842.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $15.78 | 312 | $4,923.36 | $4,938.87 |
+$81.12 (+1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $14.51 | 340 | $4,934.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.82 | 340 | $4,698.80 | $4,703.08 |
$-235.79 (-4.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $12.60 | 373 | $4,697.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $12.63 | 373 | $4,709.13 | $4,714.27 |
+$11.19 (+0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $12.57 | 374 | $4,702.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $11.82 | 374 | $4,418.81 | $4,430.15 |
$-284.13 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:30pm ET | $12.46 | 355 | $4,423.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.13 | 355 | $4,661.75 | $4,668.60 |
+$238.45 (+5.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET | $12.87 | 362 | $4,658.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $13.72 | 362 | $4,966.64 | $4,976.30 |
+$307.70 (+6.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.41 | 400 | $4,964.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.77 | 400 | $5,108.00 | $5,120.30 |
+$144.00 (+2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET | $12.86 | 398 | $5,118.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.40 | 398 | $4,936.20 | $4,938.22 |
$-182.09 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $11.81 | 418 | $4,936.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $11.38 | 418 | $4,756.84 | $4,758.48 |
$-179.74 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET | $11.69 | 407 | $4,757.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.07 | 407 | $4,910.46 | $4,911.02 |
+$152.54 (+3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $11.66 | 421 | $4,908.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $11.25 | 421 | $4,734.15 | $4,736.30 |
$-174.72 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $10.95 | 432 | $4,730.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $10.69 | 432 | $4,618.38 | $4,624.29 |
$-112.02 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $10.93 | 423 | $4,623.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $11.62 | 423 | $4,915.26 | $4,916.16 |
+$291.87 (+6.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.32 | 434 | $4,910.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.00 | 434 | $4,773.91 | $4,779.36 |
$-136.80 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $10.79 | 443 | $4,777.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.47 | 443 | $4,638.21 | $4,639.81 |
$-139.55 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 480 | $4,634.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $11.60 | 480 | $5,565.60 | $5,571.01 |
+$931.20 (+20.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $11.65 | 478 | $5,567.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $10.96 | 478 | $5,238.88 | $5,242.39 |
$-328.63 (-5.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.58 | 495 | $5,237.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $11.16 | 495 | $5,521.73 | $5,527.01 |
+$284.63 (+5.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $11.13 | 496 | $5,520.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.74 | 496 | $5,327.88 | $5,334.42 |
$-192.60 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $10.34 | 515 | $5,325.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $10.32 | 515 | $5,314.80 | $5,324.17 |
$-10.25 (-0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $9.91 | 537 | $5,323.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.97 | 537 | $5,888.21 | $5,888.93 |
+$564.76 (+10.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $9.99 | 589 | $5,884.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.51 | 589 | $5,601.39 | $5,606.21 |
$-282.72 (-4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,606.21
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,393.79
Total Return:
-43.94%