Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:20:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 12, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 43.7/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 27.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,069
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,556.01
Current Value
$13,463.94
Period P&L
$-5,092.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
2 / 14
Best Trade
+4.63%
Worst Trade
-6.74%
Avg Trade Return
-1.84%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$539,036.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,092.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,092.03
Gross Return
-27.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $18,556.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $117.71 154 $18,127.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:50am ET $118.63 154 $18,268.91 $18,341.19 +$141.57
(+0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $114.75 159 $18,244.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 10:10am ET $120.06 159 $19,089.06 $19,185.32 +$844.13
(+4.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $114.10 168 $19,168.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET $110.96 168 $18,640.78 $18,657.97 $-527.35
(-2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $109.69 170 $18,646.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:15am ET $109.24 170 $18,570.29 $18,581.38 $-76.59
(-0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $113.01 164 $18,533.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:50am ET $112.44 164 $18,440.49 $18,488.07 $-93.32
(-0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET $111.07 166 $18,436.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET $110.53 166 $18,347.98 $18,399.26 $-88.81
(-0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $107.69 170 $18,306.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $103.57 170 $17,606.05 $17,698.86 $-700.40
(-3.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $106.91 165 $17,640.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.55 165 $17,249.93 $17,308.63 $-390.22
(-2.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $103.06 167 $17,210.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:25am ET $100.52 167 $16,786.84 $16,885.29 $-423.35
(-2.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $96.07 175 $16,811.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $93.70 175 $16,396.63 $16,470.54 $-414.75
(-2.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
8.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $94.41 174 $16,427.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $91.24 174 $15,874.89 $15,918.09 $-552.45
(-3.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
13.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $90.35 176 $15,900.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $88.38 176 $15,555.37 $15,572.74 $-345.35
(-2.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $89.19 174 $15,519.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.18 174 $14,473.32 $14,527.03 $-1,045.71
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $83.90 173 $14,514.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $83.09 173 $14,375.18 $14,387.51 $-139.52
(-1.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $82.02 175 $14,353.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $80.22 175 $14,039.37 $14,073.77 $-313.74
(-2.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $81.18 173 $14,045.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $77.66 173 $13,435.18 $13,463.94 $-609.82
(-4.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,463.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,463.94
Total Return: +34.64%
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