PLTR Lucky Strike's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 48 trades in period
-1.49%
Last Year Return
$36,123.83
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$36,669.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.1/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
66.3/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 49.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$36,669.58
Current Value
$36,123.83
Period P&L
$-545.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
18 /
30
Best Trade
+13.60%
Worst Trade
-7.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,600,530.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-545.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-545.72
Gross Return
-1.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $36,669.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2025 12:45pm ET | $114.23 | 324 | $37,010.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.01 | 324 | $35,965.62 | $36,055.60 |
$-1,044.90 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 11:00am ET | $109.60 | 328 | $35,948.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 1:05pm ET | $115.51 | 328 | $37,885.64 | $37,992.43 |
+$1,936.82 (+5.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:55pm ET | $128.90 | 294 | $37,895.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $127.77 | 294 | $37,564.38 | $37,661.15 |
$-331.28 (-0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $126.90 | 296 | $37,562.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $124.87 | 296 | $36,961.52 | $37,060.27 |
$-600.88 (-1.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $125.50 | 295 | $37,022.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $121.56 | 295 | $35,860.20 | $35,898.00 |
$-1,162.27 (-3.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 3:50pm ET | $123.43 | 290 | $35,794.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 12:30pm ET | $121.07 | 290 | $35,110.39 | $35,213.68 |
$-684.31 (-1.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 2:50pm ET | $123.81 | 284 | $35,162.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $126.54 | 284 | $35,935.94 | $35,987.58 |
+$773.90 (+2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $130.78 | 275 | $35,963.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 11:00am ET | $128.77 | 275 | $35,411.75 | $35,436.21 |
$-551.37 (-1.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 12:30pm ET | $129.35 | 273 | $35,312.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 1:55pm ET | $121.52 | 273 | $33,173.81 | $33,297.47 |
$-2,138.74 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.21 | 265 | $33,179.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $138.97 | 265 | $36,827.05 | $36,945.20 |
+$3,647.73 (+11.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 10:20am ET | $137.73 | 268 | $36,911.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $136.59 | 268 | $36,606.12 | $36,639.68 |
$-305.52 (-0.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:45am ET | $143.72 | 254 | $36,504.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $140.75 | 254 | $35,749.23 | $35,884.03 |
$-755.65 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 3:15pm ET | $135.95 | 263 | $35,753.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 3:15pm ET | $130.14 | 263 | $34,226.85 | $34,357.34 |
$-1,526.69 (-4.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $131.76 | 260 | $34,257.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.68 | 260 | $38,915.50 | $39,015.13 |
+$4,657.80 (+13.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
19.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $159.24 | 245 | $39,013.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.53 | 245 | $37,369.85 | $37,371.18 |
$-1,643.95 (-4.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $171.66 | 217 | $37,250.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $181.88 | 217 | $39,467.96 | $39,588.92 |
+$2,217.74 (+6.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $175.73 | 225 | $39,539.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 1:20pm ET | $171.49 | 225 | $38,585.25 | $38,634.92 |
$-954.00 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 2:00pm ET | $158.01 | 244 | $38,554.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $148.07 | 244 | $36,129.08 | $36,209.56 |
$-2,425.36 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $155.36 | 233 | $36,197.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.98 | 233 | $35,178.34 | $35,190.19 |
$-1,019.38 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.21 | 225 | $35,147.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:30pm ET | $156.04 | 225 | $35,109.00 | $35,151.94 |
$-38.25 (-0.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $156.24 | 224 | $34,997.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $155.34 | 224 | $34,796.16 | $34,950.25 |
$-201.69 (-0.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:55am ET | $154.13 | 226 | $34,833.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:25am ET | $164.86 | 226 | $37,258.36 | $37,375.23 |
+$2,424.98 (+7.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
12d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $180.41 | 207 | $37,344.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $178.13 | 207 | $36,872.91 | $36,903.27 |
$-471.96 (-1.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $175.94 | 209 | $36,771.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $177.33 | 209 | $37,061.99 | $37,193.84 |
+$290.57 (+0.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $179.70 | 206 | $37,018.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $180.33 | 206 | $37,147.98 | $37,322.84 |
+$129.00 (+0.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $181.92 | 205 | $37,293.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $179.78 | 205 | $36,854.90 | $36,884.14 |
$-438.70 (-1.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $174.13 | 211 | $36,741.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $176.60 | 211 | $37,262.60 | $37,405.31 |
+$521.17 (+1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $177.51 | 210 | $37,276.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $175.83 | 210 | $36,924.30 | $37,053.35 |
$-351.96 (-0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:50am ET | $189.43 | 195 | $36,938.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $188.05 | 195 | $36,669.75 | $36,784.25 |
$-269.10 (-0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $183.83 | 200 | $36,766.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $183.39 | 200 | $36,678.00 | $36,696.25 |
$-88.00 (-0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $171.91 | 213 | $36,615.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.07 | 213 | $39,632.91 | $39,713.40 |
+$3,017.15 (+8.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $180.47 | 220 | $39,703.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.72 | 220 | $36,678.40 | $36,688.18 |
$-3,025.22 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $171.37 | 214 | $36,673.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $167.55 | 214 | $35,856.21 | $35,870.93 |
$-817.24 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $166.23 | 215 | $35,739.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $167.30 | 215 | $35,969.50 | $36,100.96 |
+$230.03 (+0.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:15am ET | $149.70 | 241 | $36,076.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $158.07 | 241 | $38,094.87 | $38,119.33 |
+$2,018.38 (+5.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $165.21 | 230 | $37,997.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $182.83 | 230 | $42,049.98 | $42,172.16 |
+$4,052.83 (+10.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $184.69 | 228 | $42,108.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $180.79 | 228 | $41,220.12 | $41,283.83 |
$-888.33 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $185.27 | 222 | $41,129.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:40am ET | $191.56 | 222 | $42,525.21 | $42,679.37 |
+$1,395.54 (+3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $183.23 | 232 | $42,508.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $177.92 | 232 | $41,277.44 | $41,448.61 |
$-1,230.76 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.83 | 231 | $41,309.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.49 | 231 | $41,693.19 | $41,832.07 |
+$383.46 (+0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $175.04 | 238 | $41,659.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $175.43 | 238 | $41,752.34 | $41,924.89 |
+$92.82 (+0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $176.79 | 237 | $41,898.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $170.64 | 237 | $40,440.50 | $40,467.34 |
$-1,457.55 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.04 | 242 | $40,422.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $165.44 | 242 | $40,035.27 | $40,080.14 |
$-387.20 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $158.63 | 252 | $39,974.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $149.02 | 252 | $37,553.04 | $37,658.42 |
$-2,421.72 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $146.64 | 256 | $37,539.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $153.19 | 256 | $39,216.64 | $39,335.19 |
+$1,676.78 (+4.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $139.49 | 281 | $39,196.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $129.57 | 281 | $36,407.77 | $36,546.27 |
$-2,788.93 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $135.65 | 269 | $36,491.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $140.29 | 269 | $37,736.67 | $37,791.74 |
+$1,245.47 (+3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.80 | 280 | $37,744.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.85 | 280 | $36,076.60 | $36,123.83 |
$-1,667.90 (-4.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$36,123.83
Net Profit/Loss:
+$26,123.83
Total Return:
+261.24%