Compendium › Lucky Strike › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 25 trades in period

-2.11%
Last Year Return
$36,123.83
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$36,903.27
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:10:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.1/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 66.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 48.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$36,903.27
Current Value
$36,123.83
Period P&L
$-779.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+10.67%
Worst Trade
-7.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,926,411.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-779.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-779.41
Gross Return
-2.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $36,903.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $175.94 209 $36,771.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 9:40am ET $177.33 209 $37,061.99 $37,193.84 +$290.57
(+0.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $179.70 206 $37,018.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:55am ET $180.33 206 $37,147.98 $37,322.84 +$129.00
(+0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $181.92 205 $37,293.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $179.78 205 $36,854.90 $36,884.14 $-438.70
(-1.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $174.13 211 $36,741.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $176.60 211 $37,262.60 $37,405.31 +$521.17
(+1.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $177.51 210 $37,276.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $175.83 210 $36,924.30 $37,053.35 $-351.96
(-0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:50am ET $189.43 195 $36,938.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $188.05 195 $36,669.75 $36,784.25 $-269.10
(-0.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $183.83 200 $36,766.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:05am ET $183.39 200 $36,678.00 $36,696.25 $-88.00
(-0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:05am ET $171.91 213 $36,615.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $186.07 213 $39,632.91 $39,713.40 +$3,017.15
(+8.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $180.47 220 $39,703.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $166.72 220 $36,678.40 $36,688.18 $-3,025.22
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $171.37 214 $36,673.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $167.55 214 $35,856.21 $35,870.93 $-817.24
(-2.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $166.23 215 $35,739.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $167.30 215 $35,969.50 $36,100.96 +$230.03
(+0.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:15am ET $149.70 241 $36,076.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $158.07 241 $38,094.87 $38,119.33 +$2,018.38
(+5.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $165.21 230 $37,997.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $182.83 230 $42,049.98 $42,172.16 +$4,052.83
(+10.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $184.69 228 $42,108.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET $180.79 228 $41,220.12 $41,283.83 $-888.33
(-2.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $185.27 222 $41,129.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:40am ET $191.56 222 $42,525.21 $42,679.37 +$1,395.54
(+3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $183.23 232 $42,508.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $177.92 232 $41,277.44 $41,448.61 $-1,230.76
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $178.83 231 $41,309.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $180.49 231 $41,693.19 $41,832.07 +$383.46
(+0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $175.04 238 $41,659.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $175.43 238 $41,752.34 $41,924.89 +$92.82
(+0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $176.79 237 $41,898.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $170.64 237 $40,440.50 $40,467.34 $-1,457.55
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $167.04 242 $40,422.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $165.44 242 $40,035.27 $40,080.14 $-387.20
(-1.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $158.63 252 $39,974.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $149.02 252 $37,553.04 $37,658.42 $-2,421.72
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $146.64 256 $37,539.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $153.19 256 $39,216.64 $39,335.19 +$1,676.78
(+4.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET $139.49 281 $39,196.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $129.57 281 $36,407.77 $36,546.27 $-2,788.93
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $135.65 269 $36,491.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $140.29 269 $37,736.67 $37,791.74 +$1,245.47
(+3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $134.80 280 $37,744.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 280 $36,076.60 $36,123.83 $-1,667.90
(-4.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $36,123.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$26,123.83
Total Return: +261.24%
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