Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 12:52:44

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 58.6/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,391
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,188.95
Current Value
$14,354.78
Period P&L
$1,165.82
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+7.55%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.28%
Avg Hold Time
30.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,919.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,165.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,165.82
Gross Return
+8.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $13,188.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $523.61 24 $12,566.64
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $563.14 24 $13,515.36 $14,013.11 +$948.72
(+7.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $557.10 25 $13,927.50
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $562.13 25 $14,053.25 $14,138.86 +$125.75
(+0.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
19d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $574.35 24 $13,784.40
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $590.83 24 $14,179.92 $14,534.38 +$395.52
(+2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
42.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $593.41 24 $14,241.84
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $614.23 24 $14,741.52 $15,034.06 +$499.68
(+3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
23.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $616.52 24 $14,796.48
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $594.86 24 $14,276.64 $14,514.22 $-519.84
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $595.77 24 $14,298.36
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $606.50 24 $14,556.03 $14,771.90 +$257.67
(+1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
26.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $620.45 23 $14,270.35
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $613.73 23 $14,115.79 $14,617.34 $-154.56
(-1.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
36.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $601.21 24 $14,429.04
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $590.27 24 $14,166.48 $14,354.78 $-262.56
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,354.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,354.78
Total Return: +43.55%
Back to Lucky Strike