Compendium › Lucky Strike › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+184.78%
Last Year Return
$42,003.96
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,749.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
11.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 79.0/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 50.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,609
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,749.39
Current Value
$42,003.96
Period P&L
$27,254.59
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+22.75%
Worst Trade
-10.58%
Avg Trade Return
+4.79%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,411,937.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$27,254.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$27,254.59
Gross Return
+184.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+184.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $14,749.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $29.77 495 $14,733.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $32.67 495 $16,169.18 $16,184.87 +$1,435.50
(+9.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
44d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $32.49 498 $16,180.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 11:30am ET $34.64 498 $17,248.23 $17,253.08 +$1,068.21
(+6.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
31.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $34.18 504 $17,226.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $38.27 504 $19,288.08 $19,314.44 +$2,061.36
(+12.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET $38.08 507 $19,308.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:50am ET $41.75 507 $21,167.25 $21,172.84 +$1,858.41
(+9.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
15.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $43.89 482 $21,152.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $44.08 482 $21,246.56 $21,266.83 +$93.99
(+0.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:35pm ET $47.04 452 $21,262.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET $47.20 452 $21,334.40 $21,339.11 +$72.27
(+0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $44.90 475 $21,325.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET $43.69 475 $20,752.75 $20,766.73 $-572.38
(-2.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $42.93 483 $20,732.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $42.71 483 $20,630.96 $20,664.92 $-101.82
(-0.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $47.78 432 $20,640.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $46.03 432 $19,884.96 $19,908.92 $-756.00
(-3.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $45.52 437 $19,891.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $45.78 437 $20,003.68 $20,021.18 +$112.27
(+0.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $44.88 446 $20,016.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $51.21 446 $22,837.43 $22,842.13 +$2,820.95
(+14.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
13d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $52.71 433 $22,821.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $56.30 433 $24,377.90 $24,398.77 +$1,556.64
(+6.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $57.81 422 $24,395.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $69.42 422 $29,295.24 $29,298.19 +$4,899.42
(+20.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $64.50 454 $29,283.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $66.21 454 $30,059.29 $30,074.48 +$776.29
(+2.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $66.15 454 $30,029.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $70.07 454 $31,813.37 $31,858.02 +$1,783.54
(+5.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.43 472 $31,827.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.77 472 $39,067.44 $39,097.56 +$7,239.54
(+22.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $81.37 480 $39,057.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $80.90 480 $38,829.60 $38,869.56 $-228.00
(-0.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $84.39 460 $38,819.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $101.54 460 $46,706.10 $46,756.17 +$7,886.61
(+20.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET $95.71 488 $46,704.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $100.61 488 $49,095.24 $49,147.37 +$2,391.20
(+5.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $102.08 481 $49,100.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 481 $43,905.68 $43,952.57 $-5,194.80
(-10.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $74.44 590 $43,919.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET $69.46 590 $40,981.40 $41,014.30 $-2,938.26
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:50am ET $78.72 521 $41,013.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $77.35 521 $40,299.35 $40,300.59 $-713.72
(-1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.89 584 $40,234.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET $73.04 584 $42,655.30 $42,721.21 +$2,420.62
(+6.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:00am ET $75.25 567 $42,663.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $73.98 567 $41,946.66 $42,003.96 $-717.25
(-1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,003.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,003.96
Total Return: +320.04%
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