Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:03:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 71.6/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 44.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,297
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$17,158.61
Current Value
$17,709.49
Period P&L
$550.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
15.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$537,448.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$550.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$550.88
Gross Return
+3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $17,158.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET $92.89 172 $15,977.08
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:00am ET $96.09 172 $16,526.62 $16,598.75 +$549.54
(+3.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $92.99 178 $16,551.33
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $95.60 178 $17,015.91 $17,063.33 +$464.58
(+2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $97.28 175 $17,023.13
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 12:05pm ET $97.27 175 $17,021.73 $17,061.93 $-1.40
(-0.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.84 181 $16,985.04
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $95.74 181 $17,328.94 $17,405.83 +$343.90
(+2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
28d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $95.33 182 $17,349.15
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 2:05pm ET $100.97 182 $18,375.63 $18,432.31 +$1,026.48
(+5.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
29.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $100.47 183 $18,386.01
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $98.45 183 $18,016.35 $18,062.65 $-369.66
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:50am ET $100.07 180 $18,011.77
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:55am ET $102.30 180 $18,414.00 $18,464.88 +$402.23
(+2.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET $102.00 181 $18,462.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET $100.16 181 $18,129.03 $18,131.91 $-332.97
(-1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
9d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $101.85 178 $18,129.30
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $105.07 178 $18,702.46 $18,705.07 +$573.16
(+3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $103.66 180 $18,657.90
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $100.20 180 $18,036.00 $18,083.17 $-621.90
(-3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $101.13 178 $18,001.14
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $100.13 178 $17,823.14 $17,905.17 $-178.00
(-1.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET $106.78 167 $17,832.01
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:55am ET $113.14 167 $18,894.38 $18,967.54 +$1,062.37
(+6.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
31d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $112.34 168 $18,872.28
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.44 168 $18,553.92 $18,649.18 $-318.36
(-1.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $114.11 163 $18,599.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $116.98 163 $19,067.74 $19,117.81 +$468.63
(+2.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
17.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $132.34 144 $19,056.96
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $122.56 144 $17,648.64 $17,709.49 $-1,408.32
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,709.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,709.49
Total Return: +77.09%
Back to Lucky Strike