Compendium › Lucky Strike › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 2 trades in period

-3.99%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,627.00
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,193.71
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:42:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.4/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 48.3/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,193.71
Current Value
$13,627.00
Period P&L
$-566.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,365.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-566.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-566.72
Gross Return
-3.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $14,193.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $316.99 44 $13,947.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $319.67 44 $14,065.48 $14,081.08 +$117.70
(+0.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $315.98 44 $13,903.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $305.66 44 $13,449.04 $13,627.00 $-454.08
(-3.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,627.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,627.00
Total Return: +36.27%
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