Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,211
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,941.82
Current Value
$9,845.19
Period P&L
$-2,096.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+3.86%
Worst Trade
-9.70%
Avg Trade Return
-1.57%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,956.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,096.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,096.62
Gross Return
-17.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $11,941.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $246.61 48 $11,837.04
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $238.76 48 $11,460.24 $11,565.02 $-376.80
(-3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET $246.12 46 $11,321.52
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $237.07 46 $10,905.09 $11,148.59 $-416.43
(-3.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $233.89 47 $10,992.83
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $225.36 47 $10,591.92 $10,747.68 $-400.91
(-3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $220.70 48 $10,593.60
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $229.21 48 $11,002.13 $11,156.21 +$408.53
(+3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
13.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $225.79 49 $11,063.71
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $224.00 49 $10,976.00 $11,068.50 $-87.71
(-0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $227.61 48 $10,925.28
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $226.46 48 $10,870.08 $11,013.30 $-55.20
(-0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
13.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $243.70 45 $10,966.50
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $239.81 45 $10,791.45 $10,838.25 $-175.05
(-1.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $233.34 46 $10,733.83
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $238.12 46 $10,953.52 $11,057.93 +$219.69
(+2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $238.16 46 $10,955.36
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $236.39 46 $10,873.94 $10,976.51 $-81.42
(-0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $224.82 48 $10,791.36
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 48 $9,744.72 $9,929.87 $-1,046.64
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $207.66 47 $9,760.02
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $204.30 47 $9,602.33 $9,772.18 $-157.69
(-1.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $199.69 48 $9,585.31
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $201.21 48 $9,658.32 $9,845.19 +$73.01
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,845.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-154.81
Total Return: -1.55%
Back to Lucky Strike