Compendium › Lucky Strike › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 24 trades in period

-24.94%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,783.91
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$7,705.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,705.24
Current Value
$5,783.91
Period P&L
$-1,921.38
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
7 / 17
Best Trade
+28.35%
Worst Trade
-6.90%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$307,021.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,921.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,921.38
Gross Return
-24.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $7,705.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:30am ET $321.58 24 $7,717.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $309.00 24 $7,416.00 $7,462.89 $-301.80
(-3.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $288.58 25 $7,214.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:50am ET $310.90 25 $7,772.50 $8,020.89 +$558.00
(+7.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:50am ET $302.30 26 $7,859.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET $292.31 26 $7,600.06 $7,761.09 $-259.81
(-3.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $288.32 26 $7,496.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $271.84 26 $7,067.71 $7,332.61 $-428.48
(-5.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $264.55 27 $7,142.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $247.64 27 $6,686.28 $6,876.04 $-456.57
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $238.89 28 $6,688.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $247.39 28 $6,926.92 $7,114.04 +$238.00
(+3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET $256.90 27 $6,936.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $259.29 27 $7,000.70 $7,178.57 +$64.53
(+0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $266.12 26 $6,919.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $269.30 26 $7,001.80 $7,261.25 +$82.68
(+1.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $270.85 26 $7,041.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $273.72 26 $7,116.72 $7,336.00 +$74.75
(+1.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET $266.40 27 $7,192.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $265.33 27 $7,163.96 $7,307.16 $-28.84
(-0.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $251.00 29 $7,278.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $243.67 29 $7,066.43 $7,094.73 $-212.43
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:30am ET $251.43 28 $7,039.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:30am ET $239.56 28 $6,707.54 $6,762.37 $-332.36
(-4.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $238.00 28 $6,664.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET $229.68 28 $6,431.04 $6,529.41 $-232.96
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $256.69 25 $6,417.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 25 $6,133.00 $6,245.16 $-284.25
(-4.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $244.20 25 $6,105.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $248.86 25 $6,221.50 $6,361.66 +$116.50
(+1.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $239.05 26 $6,215.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $231.88 26 $6,028.96 $6,175.32 $-186.34
(-3.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $225.73 27 $6,094.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $218.16 27 $5,890.32 $5,970.93 $-204.39
(-3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $214.95 27 $5,803.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $207.56 27 $5,604.08 $5,771.36 $-199.57
(-3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $194.72 29 $5,646.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.11 29 $5,571.05 $5,695.53 $-75.83
(-1.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $188.13 30 $5,643.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $176.51 30 $5,295.35 $5,346.97 $-348.55
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $165.56 32 $5,297.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $154.13 32 $4,932.32 $4,981.37 $-365.60
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $161.18 30 $4,835.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $155.73 30 $4,671.90 $4,818.02 $-163.35
(-3.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $150.39 32 $4,812.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $141.27 32 $4,520.64 $4,526.25 $-291.77
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $164.30 27 $4,436.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $210.88 27 $5,693.76 $5,783.91 +$1,257.66
(+28.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,783.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,216.09
Total Return: -42.16%
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