Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
10.7/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 79.3/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 42.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,312
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,221.79
Current Value
$20,129.28
Period P&L
$2,907.48
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+20.32%
Worst Trade
-6.86%
Avg Trade Return
+3.08%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$236,642.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,907.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,907.48
Gross Return
+16.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $17,221.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $363.52 47 $17,085.44
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $371.75 47 $17,472.25 $17,529.65 +$386.81
(+2.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
15.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $374.78 46 $17,239.88
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $402.83 46 $18,530.18 $18,819.95 +$1,290.30
(+7.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
42d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $409.05 46 $18,816.30
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $492.17 46 $22,639.82 $22,643.47 +$3,823.52
(+20.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $469.51 48 $22,536.36
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $437.30 48 $20,990.40 $21,097.51 $-1,545.96
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $452.40 46 $20,810.23
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $443.18 46 $20,386.28 $20,673.56 $-423.95
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $462.27 44 $20,339.88
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $449.90 44 $19,795.60 $20,129.28 $-544.28
(-2.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,129.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,129.28
Total Return: +101.29%
Back to Lucky Strike