Compendium › Lucky Strike › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+13.57%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,606.21
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$4,936.14
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,214
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,936.14
Current Value
$5,606.21
Period P&L
$670.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+20.09%
Worst Trade
-6.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,213.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$670.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$670.02
Gross Return
+13.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $4,936.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $16.27 288 $4,685.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET $17.32 288 $4,988.16 $4,999.25 +$302.40
(+6.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:35am ET $17.62 283 $4,986.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $17.12 283 $4,844.96 $4,857.75 $-141.50
(-2.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $15.52 312 $4,842.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $15.78 312 $4,923.36 $4,938.87 +$81.12
(+1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:00am ET $14.51 340 $4,934.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $13.82 340 $4,698.80 $4,703.08 $-235.79
(-4.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:30am ET $12.60 373 $4,697.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET $12.63 373 $4,709.13 $4,714.27 +$11.19
(+0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $12.57 374 $4,702.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $11.82 374 $4,418.81 $4,430.15 $-284.13
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:30pm ET $12.46 355 $4,423.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $13.13 355 $4,661.75 $4,668.60 +$238.45
(+5.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $12.87 362 $4,658.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $13.72 362 $4,966.64 $4,976.30 +$307.70
(+6.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $12.41 400 $4,964.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $12.77 400 $5,108.00 $5,120.30 +$144.00
(+2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET $12.86 398 $5,118.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $12.40 398 $4,936.20 $4,938.22 $-182.09
(-3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET $11.81 418 $4,936.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $11.38 418 $4,756.84 $4,758.48 $-179.74
(-3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $11.69 407 $4,757.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $12.07 407 $4,910.46 $4,911.02 +$152.54
(+3.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $11.66 421 $4,908.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET $11.25 421 $4,734.15 $4,736.30 $-174.72
(-3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $10.95 432 $4,730.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:50am ET $10.69 432 $4,618.38 $4,624.29 $-112.02
(-2.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $10.93 423 $4,623.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $11.62 423 $4,915.26 $4,916.16 +$291.87
(+6.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.32 434 $4,910.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $11.00 434 $4,773.91 $4,779.36 $-136.80
(-2.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.79 443 $4,777.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $10.47 443 $4,638.21 $4,639.81 $-139.55
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $9.66 480 $4,634.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $11.60 480 $5,565.60 $5,571.01 +$931.20
(+20.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.65 478 $5,567.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.96 478 $5,238.88 $5,242.39 $-328.63
(-5.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $10.58 495 $5,237.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $11.16 495 $5,521.73 $5,527.01 +$284.63
(+5.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $11.13 496 $5,520.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $10.74 496 $5,327.88 $5,334.42 $-192.60
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET $10.34 515 $5,325.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $10.32 515 $5,314.80 $5,324.17 $-10.25
(-0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $9.91 537 $5,323.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.97 537 $5,888.21 $5,888.93 +$564.76
(+10.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $9.99 589 $5,884.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $9.51 589 $5,601.39 $5,606.21 $-282.72
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,606.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,393.79
Total Return: -43.94%
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