Compendium › Lucky Strike › SOFI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOFI
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 23 trades in period

-17.94%
Last 6 Months Return
$25,470.68
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$31,037.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 64.3/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 52.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$31,037.62
Current Value
$25,470.68
Period P&L
$-5,566.95
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+20.78%
Worst Trade
-6.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,431,833.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,566.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,566.95
Gross Return
-17.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $31,037.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:40am ET $29.15 1,034 $30,141.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $29.38 1,034 $30,378.92 $30,386.20 +$237.82
(+0.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET $26.48 1,147 $30,372.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $31.98 1,147 $36,685.30 $36,698.94 +$6,312.74
(+20.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $30.75 1,193 $36,686.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $28.87 1,193 $34,435.95 $34,448.70 $-2,250.24
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $28.62 1,203 $34,424.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $27.42 1,203 $32,981.57 $33,005.82 $-1,442.88
(-4.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $26.03 1,267 $32,980.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $25.95 1,267 $32,878.65 $32,904.46 $-101.36
(-0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $26.81 1,227 $32,895.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:20pm ET $25.19 1,227 $30,913.16 $30,921.75 $-1,982.71
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $26.91 1,149 $30,919.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $29.28 1,149 $33,647.32 $33,649.48 +$2,727.73
(+8.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $28.73 1,171 $33,647.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $27.32 1,171 $31,991.72 $31,993.69 $-1,655.79
(-4.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:55am ET $27.56 1,160 $31,969.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:10pm ET $26.71 1,160 $30,983.60 $31,007.69 $-986.00
(-3.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $27.10 1,144 $30,996.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET $26.30 1,144 $30,087.20 $30,098.21 $-909.48
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:00pm ET $26.18 1,149 $30,080.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET $25.74 1,149 $29,569.52 $29,586.90 $-511.31
(-1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:45am ET $27.05 1,093 $29,565.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $26.49 1,093 $28,953.57 $28,974.82 $-612.08
(-2.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $25.97 1,115 $28,951.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $28.56 1,115 $31,838.83 $31,862.11 +$2,887.29
(+10.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $26.52 1,201 $31,844.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $27.31 1,201 $32,793.31 $32,810.90 +$948.79
(+3.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $26.52 1,237 $32,799.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $26.07 1,237 $32,242.90 $32,254.75 $-556.16
(-1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $26.86 1,200 $32,232.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $26.05 1,200 $31,262.40 $31,285.03 $-969.72
(-3.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $25.38 1,232 $31,262.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.43 1,232 $31,323.60 $31,346.63 +$61.60
(+0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.75 1,266 $31,333.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.12 1,266 $30,529.59 $30,542.72 $-803.91
(-2.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $22.14 1,379 $30,524.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $21.97 1,379 $30,289.74 $30,308.29 $-234.43
(-0.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET $20.72 1,462 $30,292.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $19.34 1,462 $28,282.39 $28,298.04 $-2,010.25
(-6.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $20.73 1,365 $28,296.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $21.18 1,365 $28,910.70 $28,912.29 +$614.25
(+2.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $20.42 1,415 $28,899.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:55am ET $19.17 1,415 $27,132.62 $27,144.95 $-1,767.34
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $19.69 1,378 $27,139.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $18.48 1,378 $25,465.44 $25,470.68 $-1,674.27
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,470.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,470.68
Total Return: +154.71%
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