Compendium › Lucky Strike › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

+33.77%
2 Years Return
$13,790.65
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$10,309.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:31:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.5/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
8.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 66.3/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 38.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,309.51
Current Value
$13,790.65
Total P&L
$3,481.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
13 / 6
Best Trade
+9.76%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
29.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$438,711.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,481.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,481.13
Gross Return
+33.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,309.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2024 9:30am ET $384.42 26 $9,994.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2024 9:30am ET $389.54 26 $10,128.04 $10,370.87 +$133.12
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2024 9:30am ET $384.33 26 $9,992.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET $402.47 26 $10,464.22 $10,842.51 +$471.64
(+4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 19, 2024 9:30am ET $404.41 26 $10,514.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 10:10am ET $397.05 26 $10,323.30 $10,651.15 $-191.36
(-1.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 10:00am ET $412.02 25 $10,300.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 10:00am ET $430.65 25 $10,766.23 $11,116.89 +$465.73
(+4.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $426.96 26 $11,100.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $448.01 26 $11,648.26 $11,664.19 +$547.30
(+4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $436.67 26 $11,353.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 12:35pm ET $422.54 26 $10,986.04 $11,296.81 $-367.38
(-3.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
16.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $423.72 26 $11,016.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:20pm ET $433.90 26 $11,281.40 $11,561.49 +$264.68
(+2.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
42.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $427.92 27 $11,553.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:00am ET $415.57 27 $11,220.39 $11,228.04 $-333.45
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 9:30am ET $418.41 26 $10,878.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET $412.95 26 $10,736.69 $11,086.07 $-141.97
(-1.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $411.06 26 $10,687.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $395.98 26 $10,295.48 $10,693.99 $-392.08
(-3.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $370.62 28 $10,377.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $379.86 28 $10,635.94 $10,952.57 +$258.58
(+2.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $390.65 28 $10,938.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 9:30am ET $391.77 28 $10,969.56 $10,983.98 +$31.41
(+0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $387.26 28 $10,843.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET $425.04 28 $11,901.12 $12,041.82 +$1,057.84
(+9.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $427.22 28 $11,962.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $448.75 28 $12,565.00 $12,644.66 +$602.84
(+5.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $436.41 28 $12,219.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $459.95 28 $12,878.60 $13,303.78 +$659.12
(+5.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $460.73 28 $12,900.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $473.04 28 $13,245.12 $13,648.46 +$344.68
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $466.89 29 $13,539.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $467.32 29 $13,552.28 $13,660.93 +$12.47
(+0.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
10.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $474.78 28 $13,293.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $493.03 28 $13,804.84 $14,171.93 +$511.00
(+3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $486.58 29 $14,110.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $473.43 29 $13,729.54 $13,790.65 $-381.28
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,790.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,790.65
Total Return: +37.91%
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