NFLX Lucky Strike's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 60 trades executed
+39.27%
2 Years Return
$13,463.94
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$9,667.36
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
43.7/100
× Confidence 0.65
= 28.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
59,008
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,667.36
Current Value
$13,463.94
Total P&L
$3,796.61
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
53
Winners / Losers
19 /
34
Best Trade
+20.35%
Worst Trade
-6.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,658,865.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,796.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,796.61
Gross Return
+39.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $9,667.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 26, 2024 9:40am ET | $55.81 | 166 | $9,263.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 31, 2024 10:10am ET | $63.98 | 166 | $10,621.36 | $10,672.33 |
+$1,357.73 (+14.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
35d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $62.90 | 169 | $10,630.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $66.82 | 169 | $11,292.33 | $11,334.55 |
+$662.23 (+6.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
36d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2024 10:00am ET | $65.16 | 173 | $11,273.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 19, 2024 9:45am ET | $64.34 | 173 | $11,131.60 | $11,192.95 |
$-141.60 (-1.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2024 3:50pm ET | $64.71 | 172 | $11,130.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 10:00am ET | $62.71 | 172 | $10,785.78 | $10,848.44 |
$-344.52 (-3.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 26, 2024 1:35pm ET | $63.23 | 171 | $10,812.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 1:35pm ET | $62.18 | 171 | $10,632.44 | $10,668.20 |
$-180.23 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.06 | 180 | $10,630.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2024 10:05am ET | $71.07 | 180 | $12,792.96 | $12,831.08 |
+$2,162.88 (+20.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2024 9:30am ET | $69.55 | 184 | $12,797.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2024 11:00am ET | $68.18 | 184 | $12,545.12 | $12,578.36 |
$-252.72 (-2.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 10:00am ET | $69.19 | 181 | $12,522.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 10:20am ET | $66.66 | 181 | $12,065.35 | $12,120.86 |
$-457.50 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2024 2:50pm ET | $68.41 | 177 | $12,107.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 11:10am ET | $69.93 | 177 | $12,377.17 | $12,390.17 |
+$269.31 (+2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
18.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $70.27 | 176 | $12,367.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $70.92 | 176 | $12,481.04 | $12,503.86 |
+$113.70 (+0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
12d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $70.12 | 178 | $12,480.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2024 11:10am ET | $84.16 | 178 | $14,981.28 | $15,004.32 |
+$2,500.46 (+20.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
33.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $88.46 | 169 | $14,950.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 11:00am ET | $85.92 | 169 | $14,519.97 | $14,574.21 |
$-430.11 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $89.19 | 163 | $14,537.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:45pm ET | $90.75 | 163 | $14,791.44 | $14,827.68 |
+$253.47 (+1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
15.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $89.72 | 165 | $14,803.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 27, 2024 9:40am ET | $89.94 | 165 | $14,840.76 | $14,864.64 |
+$36.96 (+0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2024 9:35am ET | $89.45 | 166 | $14,849.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.42 | 166 | $14,345.90 | $14,361.26 |
$-503.38 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $85.62 | 167 | $14,299.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $102.88 | 167 | $17,181.13 | $17,243.18 |
+$2,881.92 (+20.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $99.90 | 172 | $17,183.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $102.47 | 172 | $17,624.15 | $17,684.19 |
+$441.01 (+2.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $103.57 | 170 | $17,606.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 2:25pm ET | $100.16 | 170 | $17,026.95 | $17,104.15 |
$-580.04 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.10 | 174 | $17,069.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:15pm ET | $96.33 | 174 | $16,760.55 | $16,795.30 |
$-308.85 (-1.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:05pm ET | $98.16 | 171 | $16,785.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.92 | 171 | $16,402.90 | $16,413.01 |
$-382.29 (-2.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.72 | 182 | $16,329.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.00 | 182 | $15,834.27 | $15,918.28 |
$-494.73 (-3.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $89.86 | 177 | $15,904.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:35pm ET | $89.19 | 177 | $15,787.34 | $15,800.75 |
$-117.53 (-0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $95.04 | 166 | $15,776.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 10:10am ET | $96.24 | 166 | $15,976.12 | $16,000.73 |
+$199.98 (+1.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 10:10am ET | $91.22 | 175 | $15,963.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $91.17 | 175 | $15,955.10 | $15,992.77 |
$-7.96 (-0.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $87.51 | 182 | $15,926.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $83.20 | 182 | $15,142.40 | $15,208.90 |
$-783.87 (-4.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $90.26 | 168 | $15,163.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $86.91 | 168 | $14,600.81 | $14,646.13 |
$-562.77 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:40am ET | $92.29 | 158 | $14,582.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:55pm ET | $95.71 | 158 | $15,121.86 | $15,185.78 |
+$539.65 (+3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $97.90 | 155 | $15,173.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.32 | 155 | $17,253.98 | $17,265.88 |
+$2,080.10 (+13.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
13.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.26 | 152 | $17,215.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.69 | 152 | $16,977.26 | $17,027.47 |
$-238.41 (-1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 2:35pm ET | $113.83 | 149 | $16,961.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.42 | 149 | $18,091.43 | $18,157.63 |
+$1,130.17 (+6.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
26.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $120.97 | 150 | $18,145.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET | $129.27 | 150 | $19,391.10 | $19,402.78 |
+$1,245.15 (+6.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
18.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $128.81 | 150 | $19,321.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $124.23 | 150 | $18,634.13 | $18,715.41 |
$-687.37 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $124.70 | 150 | $18,705.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.73 | 150 | $18,258.75 | $18,269.16 |
$-446.25 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.45 | 149 | $18,244.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $118.47 | 149 | $17,651.81 | $17,676.24 |
$-592.92 (-3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $116.00 | 152 | $17,632.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $120.65 | 152 | $18,338.80 | $18,383.04 |
+$706.80 (+4.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
18d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $121.28 | 151 | $18,313.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.31 | 151 | $18,016.49 | $18,085.56 |
$-297.49 (-1.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $120.88 | 149 | $18,011.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $121.65 | 149 | $18,125.33 | $18,199.61 |
+$114.06 (+0.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.71 | 154 | $18,127.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $118.63 | 154 | $18,268.91 | $18,341.19 |
+$141.57 (+0.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
15d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.75 | 159 | $18,244.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $120.06 | 159 | $19,089.06 | $19,185.32 |
+$844.13 (+4.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
14d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.10 | 168 | $19,168.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $110.96 | 168 | $18,640.78 | $18,657.97 |
$-527.35 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $109.69 | 170 | $18,646.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:15am ET | $109.24 | 170 | $18,570.29 | $18,581.38 |
$-76.59 (-0.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $113.01 | 164 | $18,533.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:50am ET | $112.44 | 164 | $18,440.49 | $18,488.07 |
$-93.32 (-0.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET | $111.07 | 166 | $18,436.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $110.53 | 166 | $18,347.98 | $18,399.26 |
$-88.81 (-0.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $107.69 | 170 | $18,306.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $103.57 | 170 | $17,606.05 | $17,698.86 |
$-700.40 (-3.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $106.91 | 165 | $17,640.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $104.55 | 165 | $17,249.93 | $17,308.63 |
$-390.22 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $103.06 | 167 | $17,210.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $100.52 | 167 | $16,786.84 | $16,885.29 |
$-423.35 (-2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.07 | 175 | $16,811.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:55pm ET | $93.70 | 175 | $16,396.63 | $16,470.54 |
$-414.75 (-2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8.2d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $94.41 | 174 | $16,427.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $91.24 | 174 | $15,874.89 | $15,918.09 |
$-552.45 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
13.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.35 | 176 | $15,900.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $88.38 | 176 | $15,555.37 | $15,572.74 |
$-345.35 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $89.19 | 174 | $15,519.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.18 | 174 | $14,473.32 | $14,527.03 |
$-1,045.71 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $83.90 | 173 | $14,514.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $83.09 | 173 | $14,375.18 | $14,387.51 |
$-139.52 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.02 | 175 | $14,353.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $80.22 | 175 | $14,039.37 | $14,073.77 |
$-313.74 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $81.18 | 173 | $14,045.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.66 | 173 | $13,435.18 | $13,463.94 |
$-609.82 (-4.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,463.94
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,463.94
Total Return:
+34.64%