Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 42.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 32.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,962.61
Current Value
$13,342.38
Period P&L
$-2,620.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.98

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+1.77%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$263,240.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,620.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,620.23
Gross Return
-16.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $15,962.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $341.02 46 $15,687.05
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $347.05 46 $15,964.07 $16,007.47 +$277.02
(+1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
10.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $339.38 47 $15,950.86
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $335.68 47 $15,776.96 $15,833.57 $-173.90
(-1.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.65 45 $15,734.25
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $340.13 45 $15,305.63 $15,404.94 $-428.62
(-2.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $329.34 46 $15,149.58
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 46 $14,520.82 $14,776.18 $-628.76
(-4.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET $330.11 44 $14,524.84
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $321.43 44 $14,143.10 $14,394.44 $-381.74
(-2.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $329.13 43 $14,152.59
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $323.40 43 $13,906.20 $14,148.05 $-246.39
(-1.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $310.92 45 $13,991.18
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $313.04 45 $14,086.58 $14,243.45 +$95.40
(+0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $343.60 41 $14,087.60
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $334.13 41 $13,699.33 $13,855.18 $-388.27
(-2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $338.40 40 $13,536.20
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET $325.58 40 $13,023.40 $13,342.38 $-512.80
(-3.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,342.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,342.38
Total Return: +33.42%
Back to Lucky Strike