Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.1/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
8.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 71.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 53.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,474
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$40,711.20
Current Value
$44,992.26
Period P&L
$4,281.04
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+8.70%
Worst Trade
-6.22%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$908,704.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,281.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,281.04
Gross Return
+10.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $40,711.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET $306.63 132 $40,475.66
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $333.32 132 $43,998.24 $44,233.79 +$3,522.58
(+8.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $342.43 129 $44,173.47
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $335.46 129 $43,273.70 $43,334.01 $-899.78
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:40am ET $342.23 126 $43,120.98
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $365.56 126 $46,060.56 $46,273.59 +$2,939.58
(+6.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $384.67 120 $46,160.40
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $395.55 120 $47,466.00 $47,579.19 +$1,305.60
(+2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $409.98 116 $47,557.68
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $426.31 116 $49,451.40 $49,472.92 +$1,893.72
(+4.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $440.89 112 $49,379.12
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $413.45 112 $46,306.40 $46,400.20 $-3,072.72
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $429.05 108 $46,336.86
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $408.46 108 $44,113.68 $44,177.02 $-2,223.18
(-4.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 120 $44,080.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 120 $44,652.00 $44,748.22 +$571.20
(+1.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.60 120 $44,712.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $386.88 120 $46,425.60 $46,461.82 +$1,713.60
(+3.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $420.13 110 $46,214.81
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $406.77 110 $44,745.25 $44,992.26 $-1,469.56
(-3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $44,992.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$34,992.26
Total Return: +349.92%
Back to Lucky Strike