Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:06:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 62.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 46.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,500
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$25,195.80
Current Value
$24,956.60
Period P&L
$-239.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+7.30%
Worst Trade
-3.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$291,211.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-239.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-239.17
Gross Return
-0.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $25,195.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:20am ET $186.86 135 $25,225.44
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $186.12 135 $25,126.20 $25,143.12 $-99.24
(-0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $184.91 135 $24,962.85
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $180.97 135 $24,431.57 $24,611.84 $-531.28
(-2.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $186.22 132 $24,581.04
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $179.70 132 $23,720.40 $23,751.20 $-860.64
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.34 129 $23,650.86
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $186.93 129 $24,114.61 $24,214.95 +$463.75
(+2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
11.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $184.17 131 $24,126.26
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $176.91 131 $23,175.22 $23,263.92 $-951.04
(-3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $173.15 134 $23,202.10
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $185.78 134 $24,894.79 $24,956.60 +$1,692.69
(+7.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,956.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,956.60
Total Return: +149.57%
Back to Lucky Strike