AAPL Lucky Strike's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
+73.09%
2 Years Return
$16,383.03
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$9,464.79
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
64.1/100
× Confidence 0.61
= 38.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,464.79
Current Value
$16,383.03
Total P&L
$6,918.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
39
Winners / Losers
20 /
19
Best Trade
+20.03%
Worst Trade
-5.89%
Avg Trade Return
+1.58%
Avg Hold Time
12.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,026,382.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,918.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,918.25
Gross Return
+73.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+73.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $9,464.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $183.32 | 51 | $9,349.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 3:10pm ET | $220.03 | 51 | $11,221.69 | $11,337.16 |
+$1,872.37 (+20.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
37.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 3:50pm ET | $215.51 | 52 | $11,206.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2024 10:45am ET | $210.15 | 52 | $10,927.80 | $11,058.44 |
$-278.72 (-2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2024 3:50pm ET | $208.90 | 52 | $10,862.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 9:40am ET | $228.18 | 52 | $11,865.36 | $12,061.00 |
+$1,002.56 (+9.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
25.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2024 9:45am ET | $227.94 | 52 | $11,852.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 10:00am ET | $220.55 | 52 | $11,468.59 | $11,676.71 |
$-384.29 (-3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 3:50pm ET | $218.08 | 53 | $11,558.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $205.61 | 53 | $10,897.33 | $11,015.80 |
$-660.91 (-5.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 9:40am ET | $201.66 | 54 | $10,889.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2024 10:35am ET | $224.56 | 54 | $12,126.24 | $12,252.40 |
+$1,236.60 (+11.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
28d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 9:35am ET | $219.05 | 55 | $12,047.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $214.37 | 55 | $11,790.35 | $11,995.28 |
$-257.12 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $214.72 | 55 | $11,809.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 2:05pm ET | $224.51 | 55 | $12,348.05 | $12,533.73 |
+$538.46 (+4.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $227.65 | 55 | $12,520.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 1:50pm ET | $228.62 | 55 | $12,574.10 | $12,587.36 |
+$53.62 (+0.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
22.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $233.12 | 53 | $12,355.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $225.39 | 53 | $11,945.67 | $12,177.67 |
$-409.69 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $220.67 | 55 | $12,136.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $247.82 | 55 | $13,630.10 | $13,671.19 |
+$1,493.53 (+12.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $247.09 | 55 | $13,589.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 12:30pm ET | $250.57 | 55 | $13,781.31 | $13,862.55 |
+$191.36 (+1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
11.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.94 | 56 | $13,660.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $236.19 | 56 | $13,226.64 | $13,428.55 |
$-434.00 (-3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.23 | 56 | $13,228.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $222.32 | 56 | $12,449.92 | $12,649.59 |
$-778.96 (-5.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $229.59 | 55 | $12,627.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 1:25pm ET | $236.43 | 55 | $13,003.38 | $13,025.52 |
+$375.93 (+3.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $226.93 | 57 | $12,935.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $240.72 | 57 | $13,721.04 | $13,811.55 |
+$786.03 (+6.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
22.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $235.58 | 58 | $13,663.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $233.81 | 58 | $13,560.98 | $13,709.18 |
$-102.37 (-0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.35 | 59 | $13,708.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $224.00 | 59 | $13,216.00 | $13,216.53 |
$-492.65 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $220.59 | 59 | $13,014.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $213.06 | 59 | $12,570.25 | $12,771.96 |
$-444.57 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 2:05pm ET | $211.45 | 60 | $12,687.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $216.77 | 60 | $13,006.20 | $13,091.16 |
+$319.20 (+2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
16.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.92 | 63 | $13,035.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.85 | 63 | $12,401.24 | $12,456.44 |
$-634.72 (-4.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $176.57 | 70 | $12,359.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET | $183.04 | 70 | $12,812.80 | $12,909.34 |
+$452.90 (+3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $186.66 | 69 | $12,879.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 2:40pm ET | $191.87 | 69 | $13,239.03 | $13,268.83 |
+$359.49 (+2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $202.33 | 65 | $13,151.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $199.26 | 65 | $12,951.58 | $13,068.98 |
$-199.85 (-1.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.49 | 67 | $12,963.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.24 | 67 | $13,617.05 | $13,722.20 |
+$653.22 (+5.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
11d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $202.85 | 67 | $13,590.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $195.43 | 67 | $13,093.81 | $13,225.06 |
$-497.14 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.76 | 64 | $13,168.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $201.89 | 64 | $12,920.72 | $12,977.18 |
$-247.88 (-1.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.50 | 66 | $12,969.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $198.57 | 66 | $13,105.62 | $13,113.80 |
+$136.62 (+1.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
19.3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $198.27 | 66 | $13,085.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $213.91 | 66 | $14,118.06 | $14,146.04 |
+$1,032.24 (+7.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $212.05 | 66 | $13,995.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $204.98 | 66 | $13,528.68 | $13,679.42 |
$-466.62 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $226.07 | 60 | $13,563.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 2:00pm ET | $226.04 | 60 | $13,562.32 | $13,677.83 |
$-1.59 (-0.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $226.88 | 60 | $13,612.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $230.65 | 60 | $13,838.99 | $13,904.02 |
+$226.19 (+1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
16d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $238.08 | 58 | $13,808.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $249.07 | 58 | $14,445.77 | $14,541.37 |
+$637.35 (+4.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
22.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.51 | 58 | $14,297.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET | $266.64 | 58 | $15,464.83 | $15,708.91 |
+$1,167.54 (+8.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
34.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $266.72 | 58 | $15,469.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:10pm ET | $278.12 | 58 | $16,130.96 | $16,370.11 |
+$661.20 (+4.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
16.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $275.31 | 59 | $16,243.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $268.08 | 59 | $15,816.43 | $15,943.51 |
$-426.60 (-2.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $270.65 | 58 | $15,697.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $261.40 | 58 | $15,161.20 | $15,407.01 |
$-536.50 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.03 | 59 | $15,223.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $252.21 | 59 | $14,880.39 | $15,063.63 |
$-343.38 (-2.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $248.51 | 60 | $14,910.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $270.50 | 60 | $16,230.00 | $16,383.03 |
+$1,319.40 (+8.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,383.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,383.03
Total Return:
+63.83%