Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:35:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
10.7/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 79.3/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 42.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,606
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,218.98
Current Value
$20,129.28
Total P&L
$8,910.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
15 / 8
Best Trade
+20.32%
Worst Trade
-6.86%
Avg Trade Return
+2.80%
Avg Hold Time
22.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$701,087.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,910.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,910.29
Gross Return
+79.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+79.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $11,218.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2024 9:30am ET $213.39 52 $11,096.28
🔴 SELL May 23, 2024 10:15am ET $217.18 52 $11,293.36 $11,335.98 +$197.08
(+1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
23d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2024 9:30am ET $216.86 52 $11,276.72
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 3:35pm ET $212.18 52 $11,033.36 $11,092.62 $-243.36
(-2.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
9.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 9:50am ET $216.01 51 $11,016.51
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 9:40am ET $221.29 51 $11,285.79 $11,361.90 +$269.28
(+2.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
31d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET $218.93 51 $11,165.18
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $220.36 51 $11,238.36 $11,435.08 +$73.19
(+0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $221.24 51 $11,283.24
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET $240.74 51 $12,277.74 $12,429.58 +$994.50
(+8.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET $243.81 50 $12,190.50
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $245.04 50 $12,251.75 $12,490.83 +$61.25
(+0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
37d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $242.16 51 $12,350.17
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 2:00pm ET $242.40 51 $12,362.40 $12,503.07 +$12.23
(+0.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
37.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 9:30am ET $241.26 51 $12,304.27
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $268.02 51 $13,669.02 $13,867.82 +$1,364.75
(+11.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 11:05am ET $267.01 51 $13,617.51
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 11:30am ET $278.91 51 $14,224.46 $14,474.77 +$606.95
(+4.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
38d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $283.27 51 $14,446.77
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $304.39 51 $15,523.64 $15,551.64 +$1,076.87
(+7.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
13.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $301.48 51 $15,375.23
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $297.17 51 $15,155.67 $15,332.08 $-219.56
(-1.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $312.23 49 $15,299.25
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $298.10 49 $14,606.90 $14,639.74 $-692.35
(-4.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $294.10 49 $14,410.74
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $304.83 49 $14,936.67 $15,165.67 +$525.93
(+3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
41d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $305.19 49 $14,954.29
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:50am ET $304.49 49 $14,919.77 $15,131.15 $-34.52
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
32d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $304.58 49 $14,924.42
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $336.42 49 $16,484.58 $16,691.31 +$1,560.16
(+10.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:05pm ET $371.16 44 $16,330.82
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $386.47 44 $17,004.46 $17,364.95 +$673.64
(+4.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
12.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $373.45 46 $17,178.63
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:05am ET $368.62 46 $16,956.52 $17,142.84 $-222.11
(-1.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $363.52 47 $17,085.44
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $371.75 47 $17,472.25 $17,529.65 +$386.81
(+2.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
15.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $374.78 46 $17,239.88
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $402.83 46 $18,530.18 $18,819.95 +$1,290.30
(+7.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
42d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $409.05 46 $18,816.30
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $492.17 46 $22,639.82 $22,643.47 +$3,823.52
(+20.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $469.51 48 $22,536.36
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $437.30 48 $20,990.40 $21,097.51 $-1,545.96
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $452.40 46 $20,810.23
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $443.18 46 $20,386.28 $20,673.56 $-423.95
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $462.27 44 $20,339.88
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $449.90 44 $19,795.60 $20,129.28 $-544.28
(-2.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,129.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,129.28
Total Return: +101.29%
Back to Lucky Strike