Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:13:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 62.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 45.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,798
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$16,662.59
Current Value
$24,956.60
Total P&L
$8,294.04
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
65
Winners / Losers
27 / 38
Best Trade
+21.75%
Worst Trade
-10.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,006,781.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,294.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,294.04
Gross Return
+49.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+49.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $16,662.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 10:50am ET $116.37 142 $16,523.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2024 1:05pm ET $122.74 142 $17,428.37 $17,515.28 +$904.54
(+5.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 27, 2024 2:25pm ET $119.35 146 $17,425.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 11:05am ET $116.95 146 $17,074.70 $17,164.88 $-350.40
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 2:45pm ET $128.66 133 $17,112.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2024 10:10am ET $133.94 133 $17,814.02 $17,866.89 +$702.01
(+4.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $140.79 126 $17,739.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET $138.61 126 $17,464.72 $17,592.18 $-274.72
(-1.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $136.08 129 $17,554.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 9:55am ET $143.96 129 $18,570.84 $18,608.70 +$1,016.52
(+5.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
11.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 11:40am ET $146.15 127 $18,561.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 10:00am ET $143.63 127 $18,241.01 $18,288.67 $-320.03
(-1.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET $145.54 125 $18,192.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 10:20am ET $142.53 125 $17,816.56 $17,912.73 $-375.94
(-2.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 22, 2024 10:25am ET $142.75 125 $17,843.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 9:45am ET $138.44 125 $17,304.38 $17,373.98 $-538.75
(-3.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $133.75 129 $17,253.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $138.17 129 $17,823.93 $17,944.16 +$570.18
(+3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 11:30am ET $136.53 131 $17,885.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 10:55am ET $134.17 131 $17,576.27 $17,635.00 $-309.16
(-1.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $128.05 137 $17,542.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:00pm ET $131.85 137 $18,063.44 $18,155.60 +$520.60
(+3.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET $129.27 140 $18,097.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2024 9:40am ET $136.31 140 $19,082.70 $19,140.50 +$984.90
(+5.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 3:55pm ET $137.39 139 $19,097.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 9:55am ET $146.26 139 $20,330.14 $20,373.43 +$1,232.93
(+6.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 10:55am ET $140.54 144 $20,237.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $135.47 144 $19,507.68 $19,643.35 $-730.08
(-3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $130.95 150 $19,641.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2025 10:55am ET $130.86 150 $19,629.00 $19,630.60 $-12.75
(-0.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $133.57 146 $19,501.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $142.30 146 $20,775.80 $20,905.18 +$1,274.58
(+6.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $116.94 178 $20,814.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2025 10:20am ET $124.38 178 $22,138.75 $22,229.50 +$1,324.32
(+6.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 10:25am ET $119.57 185 $22,120.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 2:05pm ET $123.05 185 $22,764.29 $22,873.34 +$643.84
(+2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 3:25pm ET $117.47 194 $22,789.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $143.02 194 $27,745.88 $27,830.06 +$4,956.72
(+21.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2025 10:05am ET $137.46 202 $27,766.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:25pm ET $135.39 202 $27,348.78 $27,411.92 $-418.14
(-1.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 3:00pm ET $132.09 207 $27,341.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $128.19 207 $26,534.30 $26,604.62 $-807.30
(-3.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:55am ET $126.73 209 $26,486.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $117.70 209 $24,599.30 $24,717.35 $-1,887.27
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:55am ET $119.00 207 $24,633.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:55am ET $112.91 207 $23,372.58 $23,456.93 $-1,260.42
(-5.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:55am ET $115.15 203 $23,375.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:55am ET $113.58 203 $23,056.74 $23,138.22 $-318.71
(-1.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 11:00am ET $110.84 208 $23,054.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:15am ET $108.66 208 $22,600.24 $22,683.74 $-454.48
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:55am ET $106.44 213 $22,670.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $117.53 213 $25,033.46 $25,046.54 +$2,362.81
(+10.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 9:40am ET $116.09 215 $24,960.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2025 9:35am ET $115.83 215 $24,902.38 $24,988.71 $-57.83
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2025 9:30am ET $120.22 207 $24,885.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 9:50am ET $116.77 207 $24,171.72 $24,274.89 $-713.82
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 11:55am ET $112.21 216 $24,236.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $104.49 216 $22,569.84 $22,608.45 $-1,666.44
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $108.09 209 $22,589.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.81 209 $21,905.29 $21,923.98 $-684.47
(-3.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $98.46 222 $21,857.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $88.22 222 $19,584.84 $19,651.81 $-2,272.17
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET $102.87 191 $19,647.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $96.04 191 $18,343.64 $18,348.23 $-1,303.58
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $108.90 168 $18,295.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $105.80 168 $17,774.40 $17,827.43 $-520.80
(-2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 10:25am ET $100.50 177 $17,787.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET $98.15 177 $17,372.55 $17,412.37 $-415.07
(-2.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
4d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $98.17 177 $17,375.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 10:55am ET $107.79 177 $19,078.83 $19,115.99 +$1,703.63
(+9.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $109.26 174 $19,010.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:50am ET $110.88 174 $19,293.12 $19,398.62 +$282.63
(+1.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.8d held
37 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $112.65 172 $19,375.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 12:30pm ET $135.34 172 $23,279.05 $23,302.06 +$3,903.44
(+20.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
38 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:40am ET $133.52 174 $23,233.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:00pm ET $132.42 174 $23,041.08 $23,110.05 $-192.01
(-0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.2d held
39 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $132.79 174 $23,105.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 2:20pm ET $137.98 174 $24,008.52 $24,013.12 +$903.08
(+3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:00am ET $140.05 171 $23,949.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:50am ET $153.00 171 $26,162.15 $26,226.21 +$2,213.08
(+9.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
27d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $158.42 165 $26,138.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET $166.60 165 $27,489.02 $27,576.73 +$1,350.53
(+5.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
15d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $178.14 154 $27,433.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $173.04 154 $26,648.16 $26,791.35 $-785.38
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $176.02 152 $26,754.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:10pm ET $176.97 152 $26,898.68 $26,935.75 +$144.40
(+0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
14.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $172.48 156 $26,906.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET $174.89 156 $27,282.06 $27,310.93 +$375.18
(+1.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
45 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:55am ET $171.65 159 $27,292.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:10am ET $165.89 159 $26,375.72 $26,394.29 $-916.64
(-3.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
46 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $168.97 156 $26,359.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET $171.63 156 $26,774.28 $26,809.25 +$414.96
(+1.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
8.7d held
47 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $176.28 152 $26,794.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $177.70 152 $27,009.64 $27,024.33 +$215.08
(+0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
48 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $174.45 154 $26,865.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $188.50 154 $29,029.00 $29,188.03 +$2,163.70
(+8.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
15.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $181.34 160 $29,013.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $177.63 160 $28,420.80 $28,595.23 $-592.80
(-2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
50 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:40am ET $181.29 157 $28,462.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $176.92 157 $27,776.44 $27,909.14 $-686.09
(-2.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
51 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $182.20 153 $27,876.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $202.91 153 $31,045.86 $31,078.40 +$3,169.26
(+11.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.7d held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $208.66 148 $30,881.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:00pm ET $200.51 148 $29,675.48 $29,872.20 $-1,206.20
(-3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $196.08 152 $29,804.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $187.31 152 $28,471.12 $28,539.16 $-1,333.04
(-4.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $194.71 146 $28,427.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $187.08 146 $27,313.68 $27,425.18 $-1,113.98
(-3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $186.83 146 $27,277.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET $181.74 146 $26,534.04 $26,682.04 $-743.14
(-2.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $184.15 144 $26,516.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $186.12 144 $26,800.85 $26,966.01 +$283.97
(+1.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $179.14 150 $26,871.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $173.99 150 $26,098.50 $26,193.51 $-772.50
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.7d held
58 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $179.24 146 $26,169.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $178.48 146 $26,058.08 $26,082.55 $-110.96
(-0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
13d held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $177.24 147 $26,054.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $171.52 147 $25,214.09 $25,242.35 $-840.19
(-3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
5d held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:20am ET $186.86 135 $25,225.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $186.12 135 $25,126.20 $25,143.12 $-99.24
(-0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
15d held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $184.91 135 $24,962.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $180.97 135 $24,431.57 $24,611.84 $-531.28
(-2.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $186.22 132 $24,581.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $179.70 132 $23,720.40 $23,751.20 $-860.64
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.34 129 $23,650.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $186.93 129 $24,114.61 $24,214.95 +$463.75
(+2.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
11.7d held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $184.17 131 $24,126.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $176.91 131 $23,175.22 $23,263.92 $-951.04
(-3.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $173.15 134 $23,202.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $185.78 134 $24,894.79 $24,956.60 +$1,692.69
(+7.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,956.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,956.60
Total Return: +149.57%
Back to Lucky Strike