PM Lucky Strike's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 36 trades executed
+27.36%
2 Years Return
$13,333.31
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,468.91
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
23.3/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
46.0/100
× Confidence 0.65
= 29.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,265
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,468.91
Current Value
$13,333.31
Total P&L
$2,864.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
15 /
18
Best Trade
+14.09%
Worst Trade
-9.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
15d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$896,088.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,864.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,864.41
Gross Return
+27.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,468.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $94.95 | 107 | $10,159.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $101.99 | 107 | $10,912.93 | $10,942.92 |
+$753.28 (+7.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $101.63 | 107 | $10,874.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $115.95 | 107 | $12,406.65 | $12,475.16 |
+$1,532.24 (+14.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $115.56 | 107 | $12,364.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 10:50am ET | $123.63 | 107 | $13,228.41 | $13,338.65 |
+$863.49 (+7.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
38.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $124.80 | 106 | $13,228.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $120.53 | 106 | $12,776.18 | $12,886.03 |
$-452.62 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $120.78 | 106 | $12,802.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2024 11:25am ET | $117.88 | 106 | $12,495.28 | $12,578.63 |
$-307.40 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $119.35 | 105 | $12,531.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 10:20am ET | $129.09 | 105 | $13,554.45 | $13,601.33 |
+$1,022.70 (+8.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
19.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 3:55pm ET | $128.64 | 105 | $13,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 10:05am ET | $128.52 | 105 | $13,494.60 | $13,588.73 |
$-12.60 (-0.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
23.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2024 11:35am ET | $127.81 | 106 | $13,547.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 10:00am ET | $123.63 | 106 | $13,104.78 | $13,145.65 |
$-443.08 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $123.77 | 106 | $13,119.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2024 10:35am ET | $119.59 | 106 | $12,676.70 | $12,703.26 |
$-442.39 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.53 | 104 | $12,638.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $118.46 | 104 | $12,319.84 | $12,384.50 |
$-318.76 (-2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $129.17 | 95 | $12,271.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $140.16 | 95 | $13,314.87 | $13,428.22 |
+$1,043.72 (+8.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $147.46 | 91 | $13,418.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $152.77 | 91 | $13,902.07 | $13,911.43 |
+$483.21 (+3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
21d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $153.51 | 90 | $13,815.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $156.92 | 90 | $14,122.35 | $14,217.88 |
+$306.45 (+2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
16d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $148.79 | 95 | $14,135.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 10:55am ET | $146.18 | 95 | $13,887.10 | $13,969.93 |
$-247.95 (-1.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $149.70 | 93 | $13,922.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $170.15 | 93 | $15,823.95 | $15,871.78 |
+$1,901.85 (+13.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
29d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $178.22 | 89 | $15,861.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 2:10pm ET | $179.94 | 89 | $16,014.67 | $16,025.31 |
+$153.53 (+1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
28.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $178.69 | 89 | $15,903.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $176.51 | 89 | $15,709.39 | $15,831.25 |
$-194.06 (-1.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $179.98 | 87 | $15,658.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $164.79 | 87 | $14,336.30 | $14,509.28 |
$-1,321.97 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.83 | 89 | $14,491.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $159.34 | 89 | $14,181.26 | $14,198.62 |
$-310.66 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $161.97 | 87 | $14,090.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 11:05am ET | $164.72 | 87 | $14,330.64 | $14,438.30 |
+$239.69 (+1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
13.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $164.81 | 87 | $14,338.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $168.41 | 87 | $14,651.67 | $14,751.50 |
+$313.20 (+2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $165.33 | 89 | $14,713.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $161.97 | 89 | $14,415.33 | $14,452.91 |
$-298.59 (-2.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $167.51 | 86 | $14,405.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 2:50pm ET | $162.80 | 86 | $14,000.80 | $14,048.28 |
$-404.63 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.02 | 86 | $14,019.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 11:10am ET | $160.98 | 86 | $13,844.28 | $13,872.84 |
$-175.44 (-1.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $163.75 | 84 | $13,755.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:30pm ET | $159.02 | 84 | $13,357.68 | $13,475.52 |
$-397.32 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.28 | 86 | $13,440.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.62 | 86 | $12,953.32 | $12,988.76 |
$-486.76 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
18d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $155.32 | 83 | $12,891.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:45am ET | $150.01 | 83 | $12,450.42 | $12,548.03 |
$-440.73 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 86 | $12,534.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $151.54 | 86 | $13,032.44 | $13,045.97 |
+$497.94 (+4.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
25.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $155.58 | 83 | $12,913.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:40pm ET | $151.93 | 83 | $12,610.19 | $12,743.02 |
$-302.95 (-2.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $146.95 | 86 | $12,637.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.26 | 86 | $13,524.36 | $13,629.68 |
+$886.66 (+7.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
28d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $158.21 | 86 | $13,606.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $167.90 | 86 | $14,439.40 | $14,463.02 |
+$833.34 (+6.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
14d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.55 | 81 | $14,300.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $179.84 | 81 | $14,566.64 | $14,729.51 |
+$266.49 (+1.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $186.84 | 78 | $14,573.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.94 | 78 | $13,177.32 | $13,333.31 |
$-1,396.20 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,333.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,333.31
Total Return:
+33.33%