WMT Lucky Strike's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 29 trades executed
+73.76%
2 Years Return
$17,709.49
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,192.10
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
44
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality
71.6/100
× Confidence 0.62
= 44.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,192.10
Current Value
$17,709.49
Total P&L
$7,517.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
28
Winners / Losers
16 /
12
Best Trade
+16.44%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
18.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$918,355.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,517.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,517.39
Gross Return
+73.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+73.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,192.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.43 | 170 | $10,103.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $66.55 | 170 | $11,313.50 | $11,329.40 |
+$1,210.40 (+12.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $67.26 | 168 | $11,298.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $68.61 | 168 | $11,526.48 | $11,557.04 |
+$227.64 (+2.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
36d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $67.38 | 171 | $11,521.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $78.46 | 171 | $13,416.66 | $13,451.72 |
+$1,894.68 (+16.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $80.53 | 167 | $13,448.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $84.99 | 167 | $14,193.33 | $14,196.21 |
+$744.49 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $84.94 | 167 | $14,185.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $92.57 | 167 | $15,459.19 | $15,470.03 |
+$1,273.83 (+9.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
36d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $90.86 | 170 | $15,445.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $102.77 | 170 | $17,470.05 | $17,494.73 |
+$2,024.70 (+13.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $101.60 | 172 | $17,475.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $97.77 | 172 | $16,816.30 | $16,835.83 |
$-658.90 (-3.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
12.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.21 | 174 | $16,740.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $92.89 | 174 | $16,162.86 | $16,258.15 |
$-577.68 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:00pm ET | $97.10 | 167 | $16,215.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.67 | 167 | $15,642.89 | $15,685.34 |
$-572.81 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.63 | 175 | $15,684.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $86.46 | 175 | $15,130.50 | $15,131.33 |
$-554.02 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.09 | 173 | $15,065.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.85 | 173 | $14,852.05 | $14,917.67 |
$-213.66 (-1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
17d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.86 | 184 | $14,878.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 1:10pm ET | $83.78 | 184 | $15,415.52 | $15,454.95 |
+$537.28 (+3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $89.16 | 173 | $15,424.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $92.60 | 173 | $16,018.94 | $16,049.21 |
+$594.26 (+3.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $92.89 | 172 | $15,977.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $96.09 | 172 | $16,526.62 | $16,598.75 |
+$549.54 (+3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
21d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.99 | 178 | $16,551.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.60 | 178 | $17,015.91 | $17,063.33 |
+$464.58 (+2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $97.28 | 175 | $17,023.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 12:05pm ET | $97.27 | 175 | $17,021.73 | $17,061.93 |
$-1.40 (-0.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.84 | 181 | $16,985.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $95.74 | 181 | $17,328.94 | $17,405.83 |
+$343.90 (+2.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
28d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.33 | 182 | $17,349.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 2:05pm ET | $100.97 | 182 | $18,375.63 | $18,432.31 |
+$1,026.48 (+5.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
29.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $100.47 | 183 | $18,386.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.45 | 183 | $18,016.35 | $18,062.65 |
$-369.66 (-2.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $100.07 | 180 | $18,011.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $102.30 | 180 | $18,414.00 | $18,464.88 |
+$402.23 (+2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
14d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $102.00 | 181 | $18,462.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $100.16 | 181 | $18,129.03 | $18,131.91 |
$-332.97 (-1.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $101.85 | 178 | $18,129.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.07 | 178 | $18,702.46 | $18,705.07 |
+$573.16 (+3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
20d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $103.66 | 180 | $18,657.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 1:25pm ET | $100.20 | 180 | $18,036.00 | $18,083.17 |
$-621.90 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $101.13 | 178 | $18,001.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $100.13 | 178 | $17,823.14 | $17,905.17 |
$-178.00 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
14d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $106.78 | 167 | $17,832.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:55am ET | $113.14 | 167 | $18,894.38 | $18,967.54 |
+$1,062.37 (+6.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
31d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.34 | 168 | $18,872.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.44 | 168 | $18,553.92 | $18,649.18 |
$-318.36 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $114.11 | 163 | $18,599.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.98 | 163 | $19,067.74 | $19,117.81 |
+$468.63 (+2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
17.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.34 | 144 | $19,056.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.56 | 144 | $17,648.64 | $17,709.49 |
$-1,408.32 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,709.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,709.49
Total Return:
+77.09%