Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:53:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 25.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,438.15
Current Value
$12,704.97
Period P&L
$266.82
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+9.55%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,856.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$266.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$266.82
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,438.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 79 $12,360.34
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $151.91 79 $12,000.65 $12,078.46 $-359.69
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.74 77 $12,069.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $160.71 77 $12,374.67 $12,383.77 +$305.31
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $163.89 75 $12,291.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.00 75 $12,150.00 $12,242.02 $-141.75
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $179.20 68 $12,185.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $174.62 68 $11,874.16 $11,930.37 $-311.65
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET $185.65 64 $11,881.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 64 $13,016.56 $13,065.33 +$1,134.96
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $209.81 62 $13,008.22
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $211.48 62 $13,111.76 $13,168.87 +$103.54
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $209.82 62 $13,008.90
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $208.90 62 $12,951.80 $13,111.77 $-57.10
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $220.15 59 $12,988.85
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $213.26 59 $12,582.05 $12,704.97 $-406.80
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,704.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,704.97
Total Return: +27.05%
Back to Trent Follower