Compendium › Trent Follower › AVAXUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVAXUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 8 trades in period

+7.02%
Last Month Return
$4,950.52
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$3,711.11
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+9.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,264
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,711.11
Current Value
$4,950.52
Period P&L
$260.69
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+9.86%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$74,930.72
Estimated Fees
$187.33
Gross P&L
$260.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$73.36
Gross Return
+7.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.98%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,711.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $7.72 584 $4,502.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $7.54 584 $4,397.45 $4,397.45 $-127.30
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45pm ET $7.93 555 $4,397.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15am ET $7.89 555 $4,374.71 $4,374.71 $-44.67
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45pm ET $8.52 513 $4,374.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:25am ET $8.47 513 $4,345.46 $4,345.46 $-51.05
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 5:05am ET $8.88 490 $4,345.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.68 490 $4,736.59 $4,736.59 +$368.42
(+9.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
10.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 7:35pm ET $10.03 472 $4,736.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $9.93 472 $4,693.12 $4,693.12 $-67.04
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 7:45am ET $10.05 467 $4,693.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.04 467 $5,155.80 $5,155.80 +$438.06
(+9.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 8:15pm ET $11.64 443 $5,155.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 9:40pm ET $11.37 443 $5,035.72 $5,035.72 $-145.56
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 7:10am ET $11.53 437 $5,035.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:15am ET $11.33 437 $4,950.52 $4,950.52 $-110.17
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,950.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,049.48
Total Return: -50.49%
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