Compendium › Trent Follower › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-3.92%
Last Month Return
$1,782.11
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$1,704.16
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.7/10
Raw Quality 1.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 1.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,704.16
Current Value
$1,782.11
Period P&L
$-66.73
Max Drawdown
-84.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$14,319.57
Estimated Fees
$35.80
Gross P&L
$-66.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-102.53
Gross Return
-3.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.02%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,704.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $0.0977 18,562 $1,813.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.0955 18,562 $1,773.21 $1,773.21 $-48.80
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 4:20am ET $0.1058 16,766 $1,773.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.1077 16,766 $1,805.84 $1,805.84 +$23.68
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $0.1069 16,898 $1,805.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.1055 16,898 $1,783.15 $1,783.15 $-31.66
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.1126 15,840 $1,783.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:25am ET $0.1125 15,840 $1,782.11 $1,782.11 $-9.95
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,782.11
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,217.89
Total Return: -82.18%
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