Compendium › Trent Follower › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-7.86%
Last Month Return
$1,585.37
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$1,454.13
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.6/10
Raw Quality 1.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,980
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,454.13
Current Value
$1,585.37
Period P&L
$-114.28
Max Drawdown
-84.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+2.93%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$19,801.24
Estimated Fees
$49.50
Gross P&L
$-114.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-163.78
Gross Return
-7.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.26%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,454.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $0.0866 19,062 $1,650.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.0891 19,062 $1,698.43 $1,698.43 +$39.90
(+2.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.0923 18,393 $1,698.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 4:35pm ET $0.0905 18,393 $1,664.98 $1,664.98 $-41.86
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0869 19,169 $1,664.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0846 19,169 $1,622.61 $1,622.61 $-50.58
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:45am ET $0.0919 17,648 $1,622.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $0.0930 17,648 $1,640.44 $1,640.44 +$9.67
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:05am ET $0.0968 16,947 $1,640.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.0977 16,947 $1,656.39 $1,656.39 +$7.71
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:05am ET $0.1047 15,824 $1,656.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:55am ET $0.1002 15,824 $1,585.37 $1,585.37 $-79.12
(-4.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,585.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,414.63
Total Return: -84.15%
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