Compendium › Trent Follower › DOTUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOTUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.52%
Last Month Return
$7,781.39
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,567.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,567.28
Current Value
$7,781.39
Period P&L
$-418.01
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-2.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$64,423.09
Estimated Fees
$161.06
Gross P&L
$-418.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-579.07
Gross Return
-5.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.65%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,567.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:45pm ET $1.27 6,306 $8,038.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.31 6,306 $8,241.39 $8,241.39 +$162.36
(+2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.24 6,639 $8,241.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30pm ET $1.21 6,639 $8,052.85 $8,052.85 $-229.28
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:55am ET $1.26 6,394 $8,052.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 6:10am ET $1.25 6,394 $8,007.45 $8,007.45 $-85.55
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.33 6,028 $8,007.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.29 6,028 $7,781.39 $7,781.39 $-265.54
(-2.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,781.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,218.61
Total Return: -22.19%
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