Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,358.64
Current Value
$9,799.66
Period P&L
$-558.99
Max Drawdown
-41.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-0.08%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
-1.38%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,506.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-558.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-558.99
Gross Return
-5.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,358.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $110.26 93 $10,254.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $110.17 93 $10,245.81 $10,350.06 $-8.59
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:25am ET $107.17 96 $10,287.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $104.97 96 $10,077.11 $10,139.33 $-210.73
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.90 92 $10,110.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $107.35 92 $9,876.20 $9,904.73 $-234.60
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.06 79 $9,879.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $123.73 79 $9,774.67 $9,799.66 $-105.07
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,799.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-200.34
Total Return: -2.00%
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