Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

67
+18.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+63 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,018.01
Current Value
$9,333.20
Period P&L
$1,315.11
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+8.73%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
+2.28%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,455.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,315.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,315.11
Gross Return
+16.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,018.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET $11.64 688 $8,008.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $11.47 688 $7,887.92 $7,897.69 $-120.40
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $11.77 671 $7,896.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $12.09 671 $8,109.04 $8,110.46 +$212.77
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $10.67 760 $8,107.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $11.53 760 $8,766.60 $8,769.38 +$658.92
(+8.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:15am ET $11.82 741 $8,762.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $11.87 741 $8,798.19 $8,805.24 +$35.86
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $12.03 732 $8,803.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $12.18 732 $8,912.10 $8,914.16 +$108.92
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $11.47 777 $8,912.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $11.05 777 $8,581.97 $8,583.93 $-330.23
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $12.31 697 $8,580.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $13.39 697 $9,329.35 $9,333.20 +$749.27
(+8.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,333.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-666.80
Total Return: -6.67%
Back to Trent Follower