Compendium › Trent Follower › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.91%
Last Month Return
$15,568.24
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$15,871.54
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,871.54
Current Value
$15,568.24
Period P&L
$-303.30
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.87%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,180.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-303.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-303.30
Gross Return
-1.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $15,871.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 16 $15,141.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $924.92 16 $14,798.72 $15,528.66 $-342.88
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $989.50 15 $14,842.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $998.12 15 $14,971.80 $15,658.02 +$129.36
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 16 $15,631.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $975.68 16 $15,610.88 $15,637.54 $-20.48
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 14 $14,626.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,039.80 14 $14,557.20 $15,568.24 $-69.30
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,568.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,568.24
Total Return: +55.68%
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