Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:03:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,797.66
Current Value
$11,862.97
Period P&L
$-934.68
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
-1.48%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$122,734.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-934.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-934.68
Gross Return
-7.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,797.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.95 84 $12,679.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $147.35 84 $12,377.40 $12,495.25 $-302.40
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $150.99 82 $12,381.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.37 82 $12,658.38 $12,772.45 +$277.20
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 76 $12,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $162.78 76 $12,371.28 $12,394.73 $-377.72
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 75 $12,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 75 $11,658.36 $11,774.09 $-620.64
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $148.68 79 $11,745.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $149.80 79 $11,834.59 $11,862.97 +$88.88
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,862.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,862.97
Total Return: +18.63%
Back to Trent Follower