Compendium › Trent Follower › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+11.95%
Last Month Return
$13,178.73
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,772.43
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:21:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.2/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 37.0/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

42
+11.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.2 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,772.43
Current Value
$13,178.73
Period P&L
$1,406.33
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.79

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.16%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+4.00%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,049.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,406.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,406.33
Gross Return
+11.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,772.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 32 $11,473.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.71 32 $12,278.72 $12,577.20 +$804.80
(+7.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $382.16 32 $12,229.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $370.05 32 $11,841.44 $12,189.52 $-387.68
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $346.24 35 $12,118.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.51 35 $13,107.68 $13,178.73 +$989.21
(+8.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,178.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,178.73
Total Return: +31.79%
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