Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

24
+3.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,959.77
Current Value
$8,258.94
Period P&L
$299.15
Max Drawdown
-22.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,809.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$299.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$299.15
Gross Return
+3.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,959.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $39.85 199 $7,930.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.22 199 $8,003.78 $8,033.42 +$73.63
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.19 186 $8,032.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $41.72 186 $7,759.92 $7,760.93 $-272.49
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $44.62 173 $7,719.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $44.99 173 $7,783.27 $7,824.94 +$64.01
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $47.63 164 $7,811.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.38 164 $8,263.14 $8,276.76 +$451.82
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $51.00 162 $8,262.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.89 162 $8,244.18 $8,258.94 $-17.82
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,258.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,741.06
Total Return: -17.41%
Back to Trent Follower