Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

64
+18.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+59 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,554.07
Current Value
$8,926.80
Period P&L
$1,372.80
Max Drawdown
-45.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+12.15%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
+2.96%
Avg Hold Time
22h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,449.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,372.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,372.80
Gross Return
+18.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,554.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $21.45 352 $7,548.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.03 352 $7,404.32 $7,409.43 $-144.57
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.56 399 $7,403.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $20.81 399 $8,303.19 $8,309.17 +$899.74
(+12.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $22.31 372 $8,299.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.41 372 $8,336.52 $8,346.37 +$37.20
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $21.87 381 $8,332.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $21.54 381 $8,208.42 $8,222.43 $-123.94
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:55am ET $20.50 401 $8,220.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $20.55 401 $8,240.55 $8,242.48 +$20.05
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.62 364 $8,233.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $24.50 364 $8,918.00 $8,926.80 +$684.32
(+8.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,926.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,073.20
Total Return: -10.73%
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