Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 41.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.9

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.6%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,674.67
Current Value
$18,773.55
Period P&L
$-901.10
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,855.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-901.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-901.10
Gross Return
-4.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $19,674.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 1,176 $19,674.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.68 1,176 $19,621.56 $19,621.73 $-52.92
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $16.03 1,224 $19,620.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $15.86 1,224 $19,418.76 $19,419.77 $-201.96
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $16.74 1,160 $19,418.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $16.16 1,160 $18,739.80 $18,741.05 $-678.72
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $15.63 1,199 $18,740.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.80 1,199 $18,938.21 $18,938.88 +$197.83
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $15.60 1,213 $18,924.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.47 1,213 $18,759.05 $18,773.55 $-165.33
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,773.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,773.55
Total Return: +87.74%
Back to Trent Follower