Compendium › Trent Follower › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-11.62%
Last Month Return
$4,240.65
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$3,989.78
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.2/10
Raw Quality 2.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,982
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,989.78
Current Value
$4,240.65
Period P&L
$-463.60
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-0.37%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
-1.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$53,103.25
Estimated Fees
$132.76
Gross P&L
$-463.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-596.36
Gross Return
-11.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.95%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,989.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:00am ET $0.00000574 796,426,829 $4,571.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:15am ET $0.00000566 796,426,829 $4,507.78 $4,507.78 $-86.41
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET $0.00000545 827,115,596 $4,507.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.00000543 827,115,596 $4,491.24 $4,491.24 $-39.04
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $0.00000526 853,847,909 $4,491.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $0.00000522 853,847,909 $4,457.09 $4,457.09 $-56.52
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000592 752,886,824 $4,457.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.00000587 752,886,824 $4,419.45 $4,419.45 $-59.84
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:05am ET $0.00000621 711,666,667 $4,419.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.00000600 711,666,667 $4,270.00 $4,270.00 $-171.17
(-3.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000582 733,676,976 $4,270.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $0.00000578 733,676,976 $4,240.65 $4,240.65 $-50.62
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,240.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,759.35
Total Return: -57.59%
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