Compendium › Trent Follower › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 7 trades in period

-1.75%
Last Month Return
$28,579.89
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$29,089.96
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 02:41:17

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
18.9/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 53.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 52.3

30-Day Momentum

4
-1.8%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$29,089.96
Current Value
$28,579.89
Period P&L
$-510.06
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$403,816.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-510.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-510.06
Gross Return
-1.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $29,089.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.54 754 $29,062.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $37.27 754 $28,101.58 $28,128.60 $-961.35
(-3.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
55m held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:25am ET $39.62 709 $28,090.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $41.65 709 $29,529.85 $29,567.87 +$1,439.27
(+5.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $47.44 623 $29,555.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.22 623 $29,418.06 $29,430.81 $-137.06
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.83 671 $29,409.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $43.72 671 $29,332.77 $29,353.64 $-77.17
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.54 961 $29,348.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $29.83 961 $28,666.63 $28,671.33 $-682.31
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $31.75 902 $28,643.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $31.09 902 $28,047.69 $28,076.01 $-595.32
(-2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $29.78 942 $28,052.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $30.32 942 $28,556.73 $28,579.89 +$503.88
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $28,579.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$18,579.89
Total Return: +185.80%
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