Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:37:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,558.69
Current Value
$7,164.99
Period P&L
$-393.72
Max Drawdown
-27.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.83

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+1.13%
Worst Trade
-2.90%
Avg Trade Return
-1.33%
Avg Hold Time
3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$59,092.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-393.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-393.72
Gross Return
-5.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,558.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $327.30 23 $7,527.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.00 23 $7,613.00 $7,643.81 +$85.10
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $378.60 20 $7,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $368.70 20 $7,374.10 $7,445.91 $-197.90
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $335.92 22 $7,390.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $332.72 22 $7,319.84 $7,375.62 $-70.29
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $345.39 21 $7,253.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $335.36 21 $7,042.56 $7,164.99 $-210.63
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,164.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,835.01
Total Return: -28.35%
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