Compendium › Trent Follower › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 7 trades in period

-1.29%
Last Month Return
$3,438.22
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$2,972.10
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.8 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$2,972.10
Current Value
$3,438.22
Period P&L
$-38.27
Max Drawdown
-66.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$47,128.34
Estimated Fees
$117.82
Gross P&L
$-38.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-156.09
Gross Return
-1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.25%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $2,972.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 8:10pm ET $100.59 33 $3,358.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:15am ET $101.29 33 $3,382.02 $3,382.02 +$6.52
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 6:20pm ET $100.33 34 $3,382.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40pm ET $100.99 34 $3,404.27 $3,404.27 +$5.28
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 5:25am ET $105.49 32 $3,404.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 7:35am ET $103.83 32 $3,350.70 $3,350.70 $-70.46
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET $104.81 32 $3,350.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $104.84 32 $3,351.66 $3,351.66 $-15.80
(+0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $103.02 33 $3,351.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $101.35 33 $3,297.33 $3,297.33 $-70.95
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET $110.41 30 $3,297.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 5:45pm ET $113.17 30 $3,379.76 $3,379.76 +$65.73
(+2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:45am ET $115.63 29 $3,379.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $117.63 29 $3,438.22 $3,438.22 +$41.41
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,438.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,561.78
Total Return: -65.62%
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